News of imf analysis

Will Elon Musk’s plumber pay for Milei’s trips abroad?

29-03-2025 06:11 There is reason behind the IMF’s decision to throw its weight behind President Milei, which means partnering with his political objectives too.

by Marcelo J. García

ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY

Traders bet on weaker peso as Milei’s IMF deal looms

26-03-2025 21:39 Investors see Argentina’s peso on the verge of devaluation again, but for Javier Milei, such a step could prove costly – especially ahead of midterm elections in October.

ANALYSING ARGENTINA

Autumn is coming for Javier Milei

22-03-2025 07:41 Last week, we discussed how an electoral agreement with the governor of Chaco signalled a possible pattern. This week, Chaco Governor Leandro Zdero received a 120-billion-peso transfer from the federal government. Just don’t tell the IMF.

by Marcelo J. García

POLITICS – ANALYSIS

Violence and institutional informality

15-03-2025 07:29 There are serious questions as to what happened on the streets outside Congress, but it clearly helped to distract the attention away from what was going on inside Congress and in the troubled port city of Bahía Blanca.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

ECONOMY – ANALYSIS

Argentina and the IMF – scenarios for a possible new agreement

28-01-2025 10:04 Milei government and IMF continue to fine-tune a future agreement which is likely to include a remittance of some US$11 billion to bolster Central Bank coffers, allowing Argentina to remove the ‘cepo’ currency and capital controls.

by Gonzalo Martínez

POLITICS – ANALYSIS

The ecstasy of Javier Milei

30-11-2024 05:48 Things look rosy for the libertarians at this juncture, encouraging them to become even more ambitious.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Analysing Argentina

Milei’s magical thinking about a Trump victory

02-11-2024 07:38 Argentina — or Latin America, for that matter — will not be an immediate priority for any incoming US administration, though Milei may leverage his ideological rapport with a potential President Trump.

by Marcelo J. García

ANALYSING ARGENTINA

What if Milei is wrong about the economy?

13-07-2024 07:50 Hard currency is the Achilles’ heel of the Milei programme, as it was for his predecessors in office.

by Marcelo J. García

ANALYSIS

Monthly inflation slows to 13% as Milei’s cuts bite

12-03-2024 16:45 Inflation in February slowed for a second consecutive time as the impact of December’s large peso devaluation fades and President Javier Milei’s austerity measures push the economy into recession.

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Analysts improve outlook, forecast inflation slowing to 210% in 2024

08-03-2024 10:48 Experts consulted for Central Bank’s REM survey of market expectations lower forecasts for inflation in the next few months, predicting 15.5% rate for February and a 3.5% economic slump this year.

Economy minister's plan

Massa bets on IMF and sit-down with businesses, unions

02-05-2023 12:37 Argentina’s economy minister is laying down plans to support the peso throughout May. He will ask the IMF to move forward disbursements and seek a coordinated approach with business leaders and trade union leaders to slow inflation as much as possible.

by Gonzalo Martínez