News of polls

ELECTION 2023: TWO SUPER-SUNDAYS

Eight provincial elections to watch with national impact

04-05-2023 00:23 The first two weekends of May come with several provincial elections in which Argentina’s two main coalitions (Frente de Todos and Juntos por el Cambio) can take the temperature of the hinterland. This Sunday will see gubernatorial elections in Jujuy, Misiones and La Rioja, followed by Tucumán, San Juan, Salta, La Pampa and Tierra del Fuego the next Sunday. In all cases the incumbent governments, whether belonging to one of the two main coalitions or provincial parties are tipped as favourites.

ELECTIONS 2023

Milei’s policies – and poll numbers – spark concern

22-04-2023 07:00 Outspoken libertarian lawmaker Javier Milei looms larger each day over Argentina's upcoming election, with his politics, proposed policies – and poll numbers – shocking the establishment.

NEW POLL

Survey: Almost one-third would prefer 'a new political party' in 2023

24-10-2022 15:49 Almost a third of the people want a new political party to represent them, rejecting both Juntos por el Cambio and Frente de Todos, new survey by Cristian Solmoirago reveals.

by Gabriel Irungaray

BRAZIL ELECTION 2022

Bolsonaro cuts into Lula’s lead ahead of Brazil run-off

19-10-2022 20:45 President Jair Bolsonaro is chipping away at challenger Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s lead in opinion polls ahead of October 30 run-off.

BRAZIL ELECTION 2022

Pollsters fail to capture Bolsonaro support again in Brazil vote

03-10-2022 10:30 Four years on from his explosive presidential win, Brazilian pollsters once again underestimated support for Jair Bolsonaro.

BRAZIL ELECTION 2022

Analyst: Brazil's Bolsonaro has 'every chance' of re-election

13-09-2022 10:03 Contrary to reports, Brazil's outspoken far-right leader has “every chance” of being re-elected in crunch October election, says top analyst.

Brazil Elections 2022

Lula keeps big lead over Bolsonaro in new Brazil presidential poll

19-08-2022 15:59 Leftist presidential contender, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, is shown to be in the lead for Brazil’s presidential election in new poll. Former President Lula will go toe-to-toe with right-wing current leader, Jair Bolsonaro, in October.

POLITICS

‘Unsalted eggs’ and Rodríguez Larreta’s fight against everyone (including Milei) for 2023

28-05-2022 00:54 Given Argentina’s particular electoral system, we have a three-round bout ahead of us.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

BRAZIL ELECTION 2022

Will Bolsonaro stage a comeback election win?

04-05-2022 15:45 The far-right incumbent has staged a turnaround, so much so that political analysts now say he could yet come from behind to win a new four-year term.

Colombia election 2022

Colombian presidential hopeful Petro signs oath against expropriation

19-04-2022 08:36 Gustavo Petro, who leads in opinion polls ahead of Colombian elections next month, signs oath not to expropriate property if he becomes next president.

Brazil election 2022

Cash handouts are saving Brazil’s poorest — and Bolsonaro’s campaign

18-04-2022 16:56 Jair Bolsonaro trails in polls for Brazil's upcoming presidential election. The outcome may hinge on government subsidies in a nation riven by inequality.

LATIN AMERICA: THE YEAR AHEAD

Lula leads election poll as Brazilians fret about jobs, virus

12-01-2022 22:06 Brazilians’ worries about unemployment and Covid-19 continue to chip away at Jair Bolsonaro’s popularity, a new poll has found, leaving former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on track to win this year’s election.

MIDTERM ELECTIONS 2021

Midterm elections 2021: Pollsters forecast similar results to PASO

10-11-2021 16:01 Seven of Argentina’s top pollsters agree that the numbers won’t change much from the primaries, though there will be some differences. Some see the government pulling back points in the midterms; others envisage the opposition stretching their advantage.

by Gabriel Ziblat

ELECTIONS 2021: PASO PRIMARIES

Turnout and undecided voters prove to be obstacles for pollsters

09-09-2021 23:27 Pollsters agree that the result in Buenos Aires Province will be closer than expected, but none pick the same winner. Most of the undefined are Frente de Todos voters in 2019.

by Gabriel Ziblat

ELECTIONS 2021: PASO PRIMARIES

Pre-PASO polls boost opposition's hopes in Buenos Aires Province

06-09-2021 18:15 Less than a week before primaries, Diego Santilli is polling higher than neuroscientist Facundo Manes in Buenos Aires Province. Two surveys show that share of vote going to opposition in key battleground region outscores ruling coalition candidate Victoria Tolosa Paz.