News of polls

Argentines says no politician would get New Year’s Eve invite

16-12-2024 15:18 With the holiday season in full swing, consulting firm Giacobbe y Asociados decided to ask Argentines which politician they’d like to invite to their New Year’s Eve festivities. The answer, unsurprisingly, was none of them.

POLLING & SURVEYS

Milei gains popularity as economy shows sign of life

04-12-2024 15:44 Argentines’ approval of his government rose to about 47% in November, compared with 43% the month before.

POLITICS – ANALYSIS

The ecstasy of Javier Milei

30-11-2024 05:48 Things look rosy for the libertarians at this juncture, encouraging them to become even more ambitious.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

POLLING – ANALYSIS

Milei on alert over Karina’s performance in polls

16-10-2024 14:32 Argentina’s government was shocked by numbers that have emerged from surveys conducted in Buenos Aires Province showing many voters would not even consider voting for President Javier Milei’s sister.

by Ramón Indart

POLITICS – ANALYSIS

Is Milei's star beginning to fade?

28-09-2024 06:55 The first economist to become president in Argentina, he is banking on a rebound that has remained elusive thus far. The risks will only increase until people begin to feel the improvement

by Agustino Fontevecchia

El Salvador Elections

Next hurdle for El Salvador's Bukele: the economy

05-02-2024 11:35 With high public debt, nearly a third of the population living in poverty and fast-rising consumer prices, Salvadorans are increasingly starting to think of what comes next.

IN FOCUS

How El Salvador's Bukele became Latin America's most popular leader

31-01-2024 10:43 Despite accusations of human rights abuses and constitutional overstepping, Nayib Bukele's crackdown on drug gangs has won him approval ratings around 90%, according to numerous polls.

POLITICS

Instant democracy and turbo-politics in the age of Milei

13-01-2024 06:58 No-one can predict how long Javier Milei’s honeymoon period will last, but it does appear to be softening a bit.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

ELECTIONS 2023

'The lesser evil': Argentina frozen by indecision ahead of vote

16-11-2023 00:36 According to an average of opinion polls, between 7% and 13% of voters in Argentina are undecided or planning to cast a blank ballot in this Sunday's run-off.

ELECTIONS 2023: POLLING

Milei keeps edge over Massa with one week to go before run-off

11-11-2023 13:44 Brazil-based AtlasIntel puts Milei’s support at 49% compared to 45% for Economy Minister Sergio Massa, according to a poll released Friday.

ELECTION 2023 RESULTS

Massa overturns odds in election, will face Milei in November run-off

22-10-2023 21:18 With 76% of polling stations reporting, Sergio Massa leads the race for the Presidency with 35.9% of the vote; Javier Milei set to join him in run-off after taking 30.5%; Bullrich all but out with just 23%.

ELECTION 2023

Exit polls forecast presidential run-off as polling stations close in Argentina

22-10-2023 18:11 Argentines nationwide headed to the polls Sunday to pick a president they will trust with the urgent mission to pull the economy from the brink of disaster.

'Yachtgate' scandal

Insaurralde: Have lords of gambling lost their provincial ‘croupier’?

07-10-2023 06:18 Martín Insaurralde’s exit as Cabinet chief in Buenos Aires Province has also created a vacuum in the world of the unwritten rules of the gambling business.

CORRUPTION SCANDAL

First post-Insaurralde scandal poll shows impact on Unión por la Patria vote

05-10-2023 18:32 Opinion poll measuring the impact of the scandal provoked by the luxurious trip taken by Martín Insaurralde and Sofía Clerici delivers bad news for government.

by Julian D'Imperio

ELECTION 2023

Can Bullrich and Massa face the ‘Milei-tide’?

30-09-2023 05:08 The only candidate who could be moderately competitive in a run-off against Milei appears to be Bullrich, who is the farthest from taking that spot, if opinion polls are to be trusted.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

ELECTION 2023

'Plan platita,' the 'end of Kirchnerism' and a chainsaw – one month to go

21-09-2023 12:27 Wielding his chainsaw, libertarian Javier Milei promises to annihilate the "political caste." Sergio Massa, economy minister and ruling coalition candidate, endlessly announces financial help. Patricia Bullrich talks tough and promises an "end to Kirchnerism."

ELECTION 2023

Poll: Milei growing ahead of election, Massa on rise, Bullrich takes a dive

18-09-2023 17:41 New Opina Argentina survey offers projections ahead of the general election; Libertarian frontrunner grows in polls but comeback looks difficult for Bullrich; Massa on track to finish second.

EDUCATION

Lack of classroom days behind drive to private schooling, says polling

03-08-2023 06:15 New survey provides X-ray of Argentina’s education system and reveals teacher strikes are among, main motives for those choosing private education. Women, especially those with lower purchasing-power and living in Greater Buenos Aires, are the most concerned about lost days of classes, with the school syllabus one of the biggest worries.

by Sabrina Chemen

PASO primaries

Is it Bullrich’s moment or just a polling error?

28-07-2023 20:17 The future is by definition unpredictable, and even close to some of the candidates there is great skepticism regarding what the opinion polls are indicating.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

CHILEAN POLITICS

Chile's Boric sees approval rating jump to highest level in a year

06-06-2023 10:50 Gabriel Boric’s approval rating rose to the highest in a year after the former student protest leader said he will insist on tax increases to fund a long list of social programmes.

ELECTION 2023: TWO SUPER-SUNDAYS

Eight provincial elections to watch with national impact

04-05-2023 00:23 The first two weekends of May come with several provincial elections in which Argentina’s two main coalitions (Frente de Todos and Juntos por el Cambio) can take the temperature of the hinterland. This Sunday will see gubernatorial elections in Jujuy, Misiones and La Rioja, followed by Tucumán, San Juan, Salta, La Pampa and Tierra del Fuego the next Sunday. In all cases the incumbent governments, whether belonging to one of the two main coalitions or provincial parties are tipped as favourites.

ELECTIONS 2023

Milei’s policies – and poll numbers – spark concern

22-04-2023 07:00 Outspoken libertarian lawmaker Javier Milei looms larger each day over Argentina's upcoming election, with his politics, proposed policies – and poll numbers – shocking the establishment.