Wednesday, July 17, 2024

ECONOMY | 11-09-2023 11:38

Argentina economists lambast dollarisation proposal as ‘mirage’

Economists lambast Javier Milei's proposal to dollarise the nation, calling the idea a mirage and warning it would spawn a new set of challenges. 

Argentina economists lambasted a proposal to dollarise the nation that’s backed by presidential candidate Javier Milei, calling the idea a mirage and warning it would spawn a new set of challenges. 

The country lacks the needed amount of dollars, and efforts to build up supply would entail “absurd” increases in debt, further compromising public finances, dozens of prominent economists wrote in a letter released on Sunday. Adopting the dollar doesn’t make sense given the complexities of Argentina’s economy and the fact that it’s little correlated with the United States, they wrote.

While the pledge of a stable currency generates hope, “international experience and the situation of our own economy indicate the proposal in question is far from being a panacea and that, on the contrary, it could generate multiple difficulties for our immediate and future performance,” they wrote.

The letter’s signers are condemning “a solution to a monetary scam,” Milei wrote in response on X, the social media platform formerly known as Twitter. He added that those economists “have been defeated in the classrooms and also in the facts related to the fight against inflation.”

Milei, the radical libertarian who shot to the forefront of Argentina’s presidential race after a surprise primary victory last month, has proposed replacing the peso with the US dollar as a way to tame one of the world’s fastest inflation rates. That proposal and others — including a plan to shutter the Central Bank— are now sparking significant push-back.

Former Mexican Central Bank governor Guillermo Ortiz, onetime Chilean Finance Minister Andrés Velasco and Arminio Fraga, who led Brazil’s monetary authority between 1999 and 2003, all criticised the dollarisation proposal in a press call last week. Ortiz said it would fail to solve “structural problems” while Fraga said it “sounds like a magic solution.”

In the letter, the Argentine economists wrote the nation is facing challenges including galloping inflation, instability and surging poverty.

“Let us not allow — out of nearsightedness and desperation — that the difficult situation in which we find ourselves encourages us to taking a false shortcut that only leads to new and more dramatic frustration,” they wrote.


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