ANALYSIS Argentines dump the peso, betting US rescue is doomed to fail Yesterday 19:05 Argentines are convinced that even a flood of cash from the United States won’t be able to stop another painful devaluation of the peso.
POLITICS & ECONOMY US$20bn currency swap could be agreed before midterms, says Bausili Yesterday 01:31 Economy Minister Luis Caputo and Central Bank chief Santiago Bausili say landmark currency swap deal with Trump administration could be sealed before the October 26 midterms by Santiago del Carril
ELECTION 2025: FX PREDICTION Peso could tumble post-election, warns Morgan Stanley 15-10-2025 22:40 US investment bank outlined three scenarios depending on the outcome of the legislative vote – and predicts where the exchange rate will go.
CURRENCY TURBULENCE Argentine rates exceed 80% as peso crisis sparks cash crunch 09-10-2025 13:06 Short-term interest rates soar as the Milei government steps up efforts to defend the peso.
CURRENCY CONTROLS ‘Cepo’ individual: Milei tightens restrictions on dollar dealings 26-09-2025 14:54 Milei government partially reinstates currency controls for individuals; Central Bank imposes restriction that prevents savers from purchasing both official and MEP/CCL dollars for a period of 90 days.
WASHINGTON CALLING Bessent halts Argentina crisis as US lifeline upends short bets 25-09-2025 09:12 Speculators seeking to profit from the sell-offs racing through Argentina’s markets were stopped dead in their tracks by a powerful investor willing to take the opposite side of the trade: the US government.
AGRICULTURE & ECONOMY Milei’s tax cut on crops quickly lures US$7 billion 25-09-2025 08:52 Agro exporters rush to take advantage of temporary drop in export duties; Experts call on government to boost Central Bank reserves.
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Milei’s peso is 20% overvalued and fragile, analysts say 23-09-2025 14:06 Investors and analysts agree that, to one degree or another, the peso needs to drop.
CURRENCY WOES Central Bank defends peso as Milei faces setbacks 17-09-2025 23:37 Central Bank steps into market to prop up the peso – first time it has since Milei administration introduced trading band in April.
FOREIGN EXCHANGE US$130 million per day – Argentines snap up dollars as controls relaxed 01-09-2025 18:16 Since the removal of the so-called 'cepo' – strict currency controls that limit access to foreign currency – in April, Argentines have purchased over US$ 10 billion. by Gonzalo Martínez
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei intervenes in currency market despite letting peso float 28-05-2025 11:36 Argentina’s government has intervened in the currency markets to influence the peso’s value and is likely to miss reserve accumulation targets.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY How Milei keeps peso strong ahead of midterm vote 14-05-2025 12:00 President Milei's government doubles down on a strong peso strategy, making it the cornerstone of his midterm election campaign.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Corporate defaults start piling up as Milei policies kick in 07-05-2025 12:28 As Javier Milei removes the distortions that once characterised Argentina’s economy, companies that bulked up on debt by exploiting exchange rate gaps are hurting.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei defies forecasts so far as Argentina’s peso strengthens 23-04-2025 22:41 Analysts see a stronger peso over the next few months with traders buying into President Javier Milei's plan.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS What was the exchange rate when Milei came into office? 16-04-2025 16:10 Official exchange rate almost doubled from near 400 pesos to 838 pesos per greenback in the initial four days after Milei’s inauguration – now it stands closer to 1,200.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei risks reigniting inflation by floating Argentina’s peso 16-04-2025 12:35 Decision to ease currency controls is having an impact in the real economy. Retailers and importers are cautiously adjusting their prices as the peso weakens. And some fear it could spark inflation.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei launches new economic phase, with nod to middle class 11-04-2025 23:56 Casa Rosada expresses satisfaction as alignment with Trump bears fruit and secures an unprecedented initial disbursement from the International Monetary Fund.
ECONOMIC CHANGES Milei ends 'cepo' as IMF board approves US$20-billion bailout 11-04-2025 23:32 Milei declares "cepo is gone for good" as IMF unlocks US$12 billion in immediate funding and Argentina lifts capital controls in 48-month US$20-billion programme.
FIN DE CEPO? Caputo announces new IMF deal, end to exchange controls 11-04-2025 18:45 President Javier Milei's government announces elimination of foreign exchange controls ahead of confirmation of new US$20-billion IMF programme.
‘CEPO’ NO MORE? President sets 2026 target for removal of currency controls 04-02-2025 15:47 La Libertad Avanza leader says his government will remove capital controls by start of 2026 – unless the IMF grants Argentina fresh funds beforehand.
MONETARY POLICY Argentina weighs managed exchange rate once it lifts currency controls 16-12-2024 19:44 President Javier Milei's government is weighing whether to introduce a managed exchange rate regime — a “dirty float” — once it lifts its current foreign exchange controls in 2025.
CAPITAL CONTROLS Why Milei can’t lift currency controls any time soon 16-10-2024 12:15 Argentina has had strict currency controls in place for the past nine out of 13 years. President Javier Milei wants to get rid of them, but for now, he's sticking to the existing regime.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei under pressure for the first time 06-07-2024 05:59 If the doubts regarding Milei’s capacity to preside over Argentina were tied to governability risk, Caputo’s are connected to credibility risk: it’s difficult to see how the current policy framework can be sustainable in time. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICS & ECONOMY Milei says legislative win paves way for monetary policy pivot 28-06-2024 13:56 President Milei says government will change its monetary policy framework following his first major legislative victory.
CURRENCY CONTROLS Argentina to offer bonds in first step to lift currency controls 26-04-2024 13:33 President Javier Milei's government readying a new instrument to allow companies to send dividends abroad, a first step to lift a cobweb of restrictions in its foreign-exchange market.
RELATIONS WITH CHINA Central Bank chief Bausili among top officials headed to China 18-04-2024 18:02 Top government officials are preparing to visit China in the next few weeks as President Javier Milei ditches his aggressive rhetoric against Beijing in a bid to deepen ties with a key trade partner.
FINANCE Milei seeks US$15 billion for removal of currency controls 18-03-2024 11:24 President Javier Milei says he would open up restrictions on foreign currency immediately if he has US$15 billion; Money could be provided by the IMF, multilateral bodies, private investors and even “some countries."
Exchange rate woes Investors bet Argentina crawling peg to speed up to 6% by April 22-02-2024 11:34 Investors see Argentina's crawling peg accelerating to six percent monthly by the start of the second quarter, according to peso futures data.
DEVALUATION FEARS Investors bet on 44% peso devaluation after Milei’s debut 06-12-2023 15:05 Investors are preparing for a 44% devaluation of the country’s official exchange rate after Javier Milei’s inauguration.
BLOOMBERG – ANALYSIS Recession, inflation, devaluation: Economic troubles in 5 charts 19-10-2023 13:46 Argentina’s next president will take over in the middle of a financial emergency — which is par for the course in one of the world’s most dysfunctional economies.
HELP FROM BEIJING China lets Argentina tap extra US$6.5 billion from swap line 18-10-2023 14:01 Move comes right before Argentina’s presidential election on Sunday as political uncertainty roils markets and the peso’s parallel exchange rate sells off.
'CEPO' ON WAY OUT? Baffling Argentina FX rates on borrowed time as election nears 17-10-2023 16:02 The hodgepodge of currency controls put in place in Argentina is likely in its last days.