ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei stymies wild peso swings as he resets Argentine FX policy Today 01:34 The Central Bank’s FX desk is about to play a more prominent role as President Javier Milei seeks to accumulate reserves.
POLITICS & ECONOMY Milei readies major reforms while markets await currency shift 09-12-2025 15:28 Argentina currently allows the currency to trade within a strict set of bands, a policy that has helped keep inflation in check. But analysts say it has also created an overvalued peso that is weighing on the economy.
MARKET REACTION As Argentina surges back, peso shows limit to Milei euphoria 28-10-2025 10:46 Argentina officials have repeatedly said they aren’t planning on enacting any changes to the current exchange-rate policy. As trading wore on Monday, the currency steadily pulled back from its early morning surge.
ELECTION REPERCUSSIONS Wall Street banks say Milei now has a chance to freely float peso 27-10-2025 17:57 Financial giants see a favourable scenario for Argentina to move towards a floating exchange rate for the peso and reignite a plan to rebuild reserves.
COST OF POWER Milei spent around US$7.4bn protecting dollar pre-election 25-10-2025 16:03 Sunday’s legislative elections come at a historic cost: President Milei’s government has used around US$7.4 billion – a figure that could rise to US$8.4 billion, including funds from US Treasury are included – to keep the peso-dollar exchange rate stable over the two months leading up to the vote. According to Banco Provincia, it is the fourth-largest foreign exchange intervention since 2003. by Carlos Burgueño
As I see it Most countries are on death row 24-10-2025 21:07 Unless demographic trends change abruptly in the very near future, many other countries will precede Argentina on the path into the unknown. by James Neilson
cryptocurrencies Why Argentines are turning to crypto in the latest peso crisis 23-10-2025 19:26 As President Javier Milei tightens currency controls, Argentines are turning to cryptocurrencies to protect their savings.
CURRENCY WOES US Treasury sells dollars to keep peso within Argentina FX band 21-10-2025 16:41 US Treasury’s efforts to shore up Argentina’s currency are part of a broader effort to stabilise the economy before President Javier Milei’s party faces midterm elections.
ANALYSIS Argentines dump the peso, betting US rescue is doomed to fail 16-10-2025 19:05 Argentines are convinced that even a flood of cash from the United States won’t be able to stop another painful devaluation of the peso.
POLITICS & ECONOMY US$20bn currency swap could be agreed before midterms, says Bausili 16-10-2025 01:31 Economy Minister Luis Caputo and Central Bank chief Santiago Bausili say landmark currency swap deal with Trump administration could be sealed before the October 26 midterms by Santiago del Carril
ELECTION 2025: FX PREDICTION Peso could tumble post-election, warns Morgan Stanley 15-10-2025 22:40 US investment bank outlined three scenarios depending on the outcome of the legislative vote – and predicts where the exchange rate will go.
MONETARY POLICY Milei team sends mixed FX policy signals ahead of Trump meeting 14-10-2025 15:24 Since April, Argentina has let the peso float within a range as part of its agreement with the International Monetary Fund. However, authorities have intervened multiple times within the range.
CURRENCY TURBULENCE Argentine rates exceed 80% as peso crisis sparks cash crunch 09-10-2025 13:06 Short-term interest rates soar as the Milei government steps up efforts to defend the peso.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei pulls out all stops in defence of fragile peso 08-10-2025 13:33 After burning through billions of dollars in reserves, Argentina’s government is getting creative and finding new alternatives to defend the peso.
EDUCATION Secondary school crisis: Only 1 in 10 students finish studies on time and to standard, warns report 29-09-2025 17:50 Argentina’s Education Secretariat provides details of plan to tackle secondary school dropouts and school lag after report from NGO highlights shocking figures. by Juan Pablo Kavanagh
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Milei’s peso is 20% overvalued and fragile, analysts say 23-09-2025 14:06 Investors and analysts agree that, to one degree or another, the peso needs to drop.
CURRENCY WOES Central Bank defends peso as Milei faces setbacks 17-09-2025 23:37 Central Bank steps into market to prop up the peso – first time it has since Milei administration introduced trading band in April.
CURRENCY WOES Peso breaches trading limit, upends Milei FX strategy 17-09-2025 14:09 Peso hits 1,474.50 per dollar, beyond the upper level of Milei administration's trading limit.
CURRENCY WOES Peso posts sharpest weekly fall since Milei took office 13-09-2025 09:12 Market rout follows ruling coalition’s defeat in Buenos Aires Province election; Sell-off deepens amid corruption scandal and doubts over October elections.
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Argentina let peso plunge and then stepped in to contain losses 12-09-2025 11:13 Milei administration allowed peso to weaken this week, while simultaneously moving to prevent the rush out of the currency from turning into a stampede.
ECONOMIC FALL-OUT Morgan Stanley’s flip-flop shows speed of crisis ensnaring Milei 09-09-2025 09:47 It took less than a week to make Morgan Stanley abandon its bullish call on Argentina.
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS The risks of the Milei government’s economic plan 17-07-2025 10:03 Macroeconomic order and disinflation alone do not guarantee long-term sustainability. by Luis Secco
As I see it Humanity in the grip of a death wish 07-06-2025 06:39 According to Austral University’s human resources department, the birth rate in Argentina has fallen to 1.4 per woman. by James Neilson
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei intervenes in currency market despite letting peso float 28-05-2025 11:36 Argentina’s government has intervened in the currency markets to influence the peso’s value and is likely to miss reserve accumulation targets.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY How Milei keeps peso strong ahead of midterm vote 14-05-2025 12:00 President Milei's government doubles down on a strong peso strategy, making it the cornerstone of his midterm election campaign.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Corporate defaults start piling up as Milei policies kick in 07-05-2025 12:28 As Javier Milei removes the distortions that once characterised Argentina’s economy, companies that bulked up on debt by exploiting exchange rate gaps are hurting.
Editorial Will April showers bring May flowers? 03-05-2025 07:45 Critics of the exit from the ‘cepo’ currency and capital controls argue that it opens the door to speculative peso-dollar shuffles. Whether or not they are right will go much further towards defining the outcome of the October midterms than any cultural battles.
CURRENCY, FX POLICY Peso will float freely, but it’s not yet time, says Bausili 24-04-2025 10:24 Argentina’s exchange rate will be fully liberalised “in time,” says Central Bank Governor Santiago Bausili at event in Washington.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei defies forecasts so far as Argentina’s peso strengthens 23-04-2025 22:41 Analysts see a stronger peso over the next few months with traders buying into President Javier Milei's plan.
Editorial Floating on air? 19-04-2025 06:00 Milei might echo Alfonsín by proclaiming: “Happy Easter, the dollar is in order” but early days – a more total exit from currency and capital controls by Macri in in late 2015 was even smoother, without ensuring him a happy ending.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS What was the exchange rate when Milei came into office? 16-04-2025 16:10 Official exchange rate almost doubled from near 400 pesos to 838 pesos per greenback in the initial four days after Milei’s inauguration – now it stands closer to 1,200.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei risks reigniting inflation by floating Argentina’s peso 16-04-2025 12:35 Decision to ease currency controls is having an impact in the real economy. Retailers and importers are cautiously adjusting their prices as the peso weakens. And some fear it could spark inflation.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Tales of the blue (dollar) 29-03-2025 06:11 Milei and Caputo have promised to lift the 'cepo' currency controls. It won’t signal the end of the 'blue,' but it should reduce its importance and the wild fluctuations that voraciously mint millionaires and, at the same speed, erase their fortunes. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Traders bet on weaker peso as Milei’s IMF deal looms 26-03-2025 21:39 Investors see Argentina’s peso on the verge of devaluation again, but for Javier Milei, such a step could prove costly – especially ahead of midterm elections in October.
AS I SEE IT Demography should help the US keep China at bay 15-03-2025 07:46 Despite the fact that demography has always been China’s not so secret weapon, in recent years it has become a major problem that seems certain to put a premature end to the imperial dreams of Xi and his immediate successors. by James Neilson
As I see it Quite soon there will be nobody left 21-12-2024 05:07 If present trends are anything to go by, then our descendants, most of whom will be in their dotage, will occupy a prominent place on the endangered species list. by James Neilson
MONETARY POLICY Argentina weighs managed exchange rate once it lifts currency controls 16-12-2024 19:44 President Javier Milei's government is weighing whether to introduce a managed exchange rate regime — a “dirty float” — once it lifts its current foreign exchange controls in 2025.
CAPITAL CONTROLS Why Milei can’t lift currency controls any time soon 16-10-2024 12:15 Argentina has had strict currency controls in place for the past nine out of 13 years. President Javier Milei wants to get rid of them, but for now, he's sticking to the existing regime.
CHILEAN SOCIETY Chile's birth rate plummets as more women say no to motherhood 18-09-2024 11:32 In the past decade, births have fallen by 29% in Chile, which now makes it the country with the lowest birth rate in the Americas.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES To breed or not to breed 03-08-2024 14:17 Until now either population growth or control was the clear preference but today both look a dead end. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei under pressure for the first time 06-07-2024 05:59 If the doubts regarding Milei’s capacity to preside over Argentina were tied to governability risk, Caputo’s are connected to credibility risk: it’s difficult to see how the current policy framework can be sustainable in time. by Agustino Fontevecchia
UNREST IN BOLIVIA Growing discontent amid dollar, fuel shortages in resource-rich Bolivia 03-07-2024 10:58 Along with the fuel shortage in Bolivia, which tends to be chronic due to economic problems in imports, there is also a lack of dollars in the country and, consequently, an increase in the exchange rate in the parallel market.
POLITICS & ECONOMY Milei says legislative win paves way for monetary policy pivot 28-06-2024 13:56 President Milei says government will change its monetary policy framework following his first major legislative victory.
AGRICULTURE & ECONOMY Argentina has surplus harvest, but farmers want more from Milei 22-06-2024 09:03 Farmers are delaying agricultural sales as they wait for President Javier Milei to eliminate taxes and exchange barriers.
CURRENCY CONTROLS Argentina to offer bonds in first step to lift currency controls 26-04-2024 13:33 President Javier Milei's government readying a new instrument to allow companies to send dividends abroad, a first step to lift a cobweb of restrictions in its foreign-exchange market.
More hikes on way Gas prices set to rise sharply as Energy Secretariat prepares to trim subsidies 13-03-2024 17:48 Sources in Energy Secretariat anticipate new rates will be disclosed in next week; Energy companies have asked for rises above 500%.
MONETARY POLICY Central Bank cuts rates to 80% in surprise move as inflation cools 12-03-2024 09:43 Central Bank unexpectedly cuts banchmark interest rate as policy-makers forecast cooling of inflation.
APPETITE FOR FOREIGN CURRENCY Dollar fever eases in Milei’s Argentina... good news? 11-03-2024 16:25 Appetite for dollars in Argentina as a shelter against inflation is falling under Milei’s government, but what from afar looks encouraging, smells of recession, declining imports and falling incomes.
Exchange rate woes Investors bet Argentina crawling peg to speed up to 6% by April 22-02-2024 11:34 Investors see Argentina's crawling peg accelerating to six percent monthly by the start of the second quarter, according to peso futures data.
Economy Why the Argentine peso is slipping through Milei’s fingers 18-01-2024 23:30 Despite Javier Milei's best efforts, the gap between blue and official rates remains, and the peso has plunged by about a third against the dollar this year.