ANALYSING ARGENTINA Milei, Reagan and the 20% enemy rule Today 05:07 President Milei seems to be inverting Ronald Reagan’s equation – as in, disagree 20 percent of the time with me, and you are 80 percent my enemy. by Marcelo J. García
EDITORIAL The near in blood, the nearer bloody Today 05:07 Time to stop being the snake biting its own tail and return to being the libertarian lion against the caste instead of co-opting it.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei’s ‘we want it all’ moment Today 05:07 We’re early into the experiment. But Javier and Karina, along with star political advisor Santiago Caputo, are already imagining the “Milei era,” which should last at least eight years and include control of the Casa Rosada, Buenos Aires City and Buenos Aires Province. by James Grainger
WAR ON THE STATE Milei’s ‘chainsaw’ cut nearly 35,000 public-sector jobs in 2024 Today 05:07 Report by the Deregulation & State Transformation Ministry, headed by Milei ally Federico Sturzenegger, details 34,280 dismissals or contract terminations between December 2023 and October 2024, shrinking the state payroll by seven percent.
The Week in Review Stories that caught our eye: December 13 to 20 Yesterday 17:16 A selection of the stories that caught our eye over the last seven days in Argentina.
IMF NEGOTIATIONS OVER NEW DEAL IMF: Formal talks over new deal with Argentina have begun 19-12-2024 21:09 The International Monetary Fund and Argentina have formally begun negotiations over a new loan agreement as the current programme draws to a close.
POLITICS & COURTS Supreme Ct declares Insfrán’s indefinite re-election in Formosa unconstitutional 19-12-2024 19:02 The top tribunal unanimously ruled against unlimited re-election, blocking plans by Peronist governor to extend his term in power past 30-year mark.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Argentina takes steps to speed up Milei’s dollarisation strategy 19-12-2024 15:38 Argentina’s government is working with major banks and payment firms to advance Javier Milei’s dollarisation strategy.
AGRICULTURE & ECONOMY Distressed fund wins key role in bankruptcy case of soy exporter Vicentin 19-12-2024 15:03 Esteban Nofal, who runs Cima Investments SA, has swept up almost 35% of Vicentin’s US$1.3 billion of unsecured debt from a group of global banks for just 11 cents on the dollar.
ENERGY & GAS Shell signs accord with Argentina’s YPF to develop LNG plant 19-12-2024 14:57 Shell Plc has signed an agreement with Argentina’s state-run energy company YPF SA to work on a plan to export liquefied natural gas.
NEW IMF PROGRAMME IMF in talks with Argentina on loan to succeed US$44-billion deal 19-12-2024 14:13 International Monetary Fund confirms it has formally opened talks with President Javier Milei's government over a new loan programme to replace its existing US$44-billion deal.
ECONOMIC POLICY Milei, Caputo increasing bullish as they outline new IMF deal timeline 19-12-2024 09:50 Argentina eyes fresh accord with the International Monetary Fund in the first third of next year, with President Milei confident of strong support, both at the Fund and on trade, from incoming US president Donald Trump.
TURBULENCE IN BRAZIL Brazil market rout risks a crisis as Lula resists austerity push 19-12-2024 08:25 As the currency craters in Brazil, thrusting the country’s markets into the international spotlight for the first time in years, a grim reality is setting in for top economic aides to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. They are, they fear, powerless to do much to stop the panic.
BRAZILIAN POLITICS Geraldo Alckmin, Lula’s rival-turned-vice-president, finds himself in unwanted limelight 19-12-2024 08:17 For decades, he was President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s political rival. Now his boss’s health issues have put Geraldo Alckmin at the centre of questions about Brazil’s future.
ECONOMIC POLICY Argentina working with banks to expanding dollar lending 18-12-2024 14:37 Argentina’s government is pushing banks to expand dollar lending to more sectors, wanting loans to companies and mortgages to be offered in US currency.
BUSINESS & INVESTMENT Creditors agree to restructuring for Argentina’s Clisa 18-12-2024 14:34 Creditors agree to debt rework with Clisa, holding company behind Buenos Aires metro company operators.
BUSINESS & INVESTMENT Argentina’s Aconcagua eyes global bond market, foray into shale 17-12-2024 15:23 Oil driller Petrolera Aconcagua Energia SA is looking to sell an international bond, swooping into an opening for Argentine energy corporates that’s materialised with President Javier Milei’s free-market reforms.
End of the recession? Economy rebounded in Q3 but activity remains below 2023 levels 17-12-2024 10:12 Argentina’s economy grew by 3.9% in the third quarter compared to the previous months, but fell 2.1% year-on-year. Recovery marked by uneven performance across sectors.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS Argentina exited recession as Milei eyes growth before midterms 16-12-2024 21:22 Argentina emerged from a brutal recession in the third quarter; Gross domestic product expanded 3.9% from July to September compared to the previous three-month period, better than analysts’ expectations.
MONETARY POLICY Argentina weighs managed exchange rate once it lifts currency controls 16-12-2024 19:44 President Javier Milei's government is weighing whether to introduce a managed exchange rate regime — a “dirty float” — once it lifts its current foreign exchange controls in 2025.
As I see it Milei is still very much in charge 14-12-2024 15:37 The success or failure of the far-reaching programme Milei devised will depend on whether or not most members of the political fraternity have learned enough from their many errors. by James Neilson
EDITORIAL Party in both its meanings 14-12-2024 06:30 Depicting Edgardo Kueider as a pure Kirchnerite will not wash – not only has he delivered some key votes for the Milei government, he was also star spin doctor Santiago Caputo’s nominee to chair the bicameral intelligence commission.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES 'Cause I was the taxwoman 14-12-2024 05:39 ARCA (until recently AFIP) tax bureau chief Florencia Misrahi’s dismissal could be worth a closer look to have some idea of where the Milei government is heading as its second year begins. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS A busy week for corruption 14-12-2024 05:37 Edgardo Kueider’s situation is explicit, bombastic. But not uncommon in Argentine politics. by Agustino Fontevecchia
the week in review Stories that caught our eye: December 6 to 13 13-12-2024 20:05 A selection of the stories that caught our eye over the last seven days in Argentina.
MILEI AWAITS TRUMP IMF moves goal-posts for Argentina – no definitions until April 13-12-2024 15:25 The International Monetary Fund has presented Javier Milei with two conditions which must be met before any further remittance beyond the US$44.5 billion loaned to Mauricio Macri – obtain Congress endorsement for taking on new debt and making structural changes. by Carlos Burgueño
lithium mining Rio Tinto to invest US$2.5 billion in lithium production 13-12-2024 13:24 Anglo-Australian mining giant announces US$2.5-billion investment in Rincón project in Salta Province, with chief executive praising Milei’s reforms and RIGI scheme.
HEALTH & ECONOMY Government: Prepaid health schemes face probe for alleged ‘cartel practices’ 12-12-2024 18:48 Following investigation into co-ordinated fee increases between last December and last April, Presidential Spokesperson Manuel Adorni states CNDC anti-monopoly watchdog has initiated summary proceedings against several prepaid health schemes and former chamber president Claudio Belocopitt.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Argentines no longer love the dollar, thanks to Milei 12-12-2024 16:07 Argentines have preferred the US dollar over the Argentine peso for decades – Milei may have achieved what once looked unachievable.
BUSINESS & FINANCE JPMorgan plans to hire 1,500 workers for global hub in Argentina 12-12-2024 15:27 JPMorgan Chase & Co plans to add 1,500 workers to its Buenos Aires corporate center over the next five years. Argentina’s skilled workforce, English language proficiency and alignment with US time zones help make it a strategic hub.
Lithium in Argentina Rio Tinto’s US$2.5-billion lithium plan is a win for Milei 12-12-2024 15:18 Rio Tinto Group plans to invest US$2.5 billion in a new lithium mine in Argentina – a win for President Javier Milei’s RIGI investment incentive scheme.
OPINION & ANALYSIS Who was Milei’s audience? 11-12-2024 23:45 With an almost religious hope of 2025 being a growth year, President Milei used his first anniversary address to talk to the ‘círculo rojo’ business establishment and his run-off voters, with no concrete announcements for ordinary people. by Javier Calvo
ANALYSIS Inflation unexpectedly cools in another Milei victory 11-12-2024 16:39 Argentina’s monthly inflation rose less than expected in November, handing President Javier Milei another victory.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS Inflation slowdown continues, decelerating to 2.4% in November 11-12-2024 16:08 Data from the INDEC national statistics bureau shows consumer prices increased by 2.4% last month, below the expectation of analysts and markets. by James Grainger
Tax policies Sturzenegger clarification pours cold water on Milei’s 90% tax reduction claim 11-12-2024 15:55 Argentina’s deregulation czar assures that the government’s idea is to simplify the tax structure but not to reduce the percentage of its burden – a notable difference from President Javier Milei’s first anniversary speech vow.
President's address Milei vows to axe capital controls and negotiate Trump trade deal 11-12-2024 09:50 President Javier Milei promises to lift capital and currency controls next year and negotiate a free-trade agreement with the United States once Donald Trump takes office.
MILEI'S FIRST YEAR Milei promises inflation will be a 'bad memory' in first anniversary speech 10-12-2024 23:45 President touts US trade deal with Trump, vows to remove currency controls and says “happy times” lie ahead in national broadcast marking first year in office.
ONE YEAR WITH MILEI A year into office, Milei’s ‘shock’ therapy takes hold 10-12-2024 16:41 President Javier Milei marks his first year in office Tuesday and intends to celebrate his government's achievements in a national broadcast later this evening.
2024: YEAR IN REVIEW Copa América, Colapinto, INADI… Argentina’s most googled topics in 2024 10-12-2024 10:54 Copa América, INADI, Ley de Bases, Franco Colapinto, and ‘Gran Hermano’… the world’s leading search engine has revealed the topics that captured the attention of Argentines this year.
MILEI'S FIRST YEAR Key measures from Milei’s first year in office 10-12-2024 09:57 President’s first year in office was marked by drastic state cutbacks, the sharpest rise in poverty in two decades, an aggressive rhetoric and notable shift in foreign policy.
MILEI'S FIRST YEAR Four takeaways from President Javier Milei's first year 10-12-2024 09:44 Four takeaways from Milei's first year in office: Slimming the state, wielding the chainsaw, domestic political battles and a shift in foreign policy.
ENERGY & GAS Argentine oil output is poised to oust Colombia from South America’s top three 09-12-2024 16:26 A shale-drilling frenzy in Argentina has put the country on the verge of leapfrogging regional rival Colombia as a top-three crude producer in South America.
SOCIETY Pensioners the biggest losers of Milei’s first year in office 09-12-2024 13:20 Some five million retirees in Argentina receive just a minimum pension and bonus payment amounting to some US$320, just a third of the estimated living cost for an older adult.
365 days of Javier Milei One year in, Milei yet to fulfill key economic campaign promises 09-12-2024 12:53 Dollarisation, the removal of the ‘cepo,’ and the closure of the Central Bank – though he has tamed inflation, President Javier Milei has yet to deliver on key economic promises in his first year in office.
EU-MERCOSUR TRADE DEAL EU-Mercosur deal will 'mainly' benefit Europe, says Paraguay president 09-12-2024 11:16 New free-trade deal between the European Union and Mercosur bloc will "mainly" benefit Europe, says Paraguay's President Santiago Peña.
POLITICS Milei fires head of tax bureau over ‘streaming and influencers’ rules 07-12-2024 18:21 ARCA (ex-AFIP) chief Florencia dismissed from her post after less than a year in office; Order to fire official reportedly came straight from President Milei.
Analysing Argentina Year one: Milei surpassed expectations, but now faces high ones 07-12-2024 06:51 The question of whether Milei will be an anecdote or a new force that defines an era will largely begin to be answered in 2025. First and foremost, it will depend on the economy, and second — but by no means less important — on the midterm elections in October. by Marcelo J. García
EDITORIAL The year of the lion 07-12-2024 06:17 Milei’s first year in office has seen much more grey than its inflamed and somewhat arbitrary crusade against the “caste” of drab democratic politics would care to admit.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES No quorum, no forum 07-12-2024 05:30 Congress becomes its own worst enemy when deputies and senators refuse to do the work for which the tax-payer remunerates them. by Michael Soltys
MILEI'S FIRST YEAR Milei’s self-congratulatory maiden year 07-12-2024 00:36 A year in, Milei is surfing the wave of popularity, feeling invincible as he receives the constant attention of the international media, which in turn feeds his ego even further. by Agustino Fontevecchia
the week in review Stories that caught our eye: November 30 to December 6 06-12-2024 15:29 A selection of stories that caught our eye over the last seven days in Argentina.
EU-MERCOSUR TRADE DEAL Mercosur and EU announce agreement on free-trade deal 06-12-2024 13:02 Almost 25 years on from the first opening of negotiations, the the EU and Mercosur reach agreement for free-trade deal that will create a market exceeding 700 million people.
EU-MERCOSUR TRADE DEAL EU reaches long-sought Mercosur deal despite French objections 06-12-2024 12:47 European Union and Mercosur bloc clinch trade deal despite objections of France, which will try to block process; Signing and ratification process could take as long as 18 months.
ECONOMIC POLICY Milei admires Ireland for a statistic the Irish don’t favour 06-12-2024 12:35 President Javier Milei aspires to reform Argentina’s economy in the way Ireland turned around its fortunes over the past three decades. The Irish see more nuance to their own story.
future of mercosur Milei: Mercosur has ‘ended up becoming a prison’ for members 06-12-2024 12:28 Argentina’s President slams Mercosur protectionism at summit and calls for "new formula" for regional bloc, stating it has been a “stumbling block to the progress of Argentines.”
INTEREST RATES Central Bank lowers rate to 32% on price expectations 06-12-2024 00:10 Argentina’s Central Bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 300 basis points to 32 percent as inflation expectations fall.
EU-MERCOSUR TRADE DEAL EU-Mercosur deal ‘in sight,’ says top European official 05-12-2024 20:49 Chances of a sealed deal seemed slim at press time as leaders in France, Italy renew criticism.
ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES Irish eyes offer native perspective on Ireland’s ‘Celtic tiger’ rise 05-12-2024 17:45 Alan Barrett, director of one of Ireland’s leading think tanks, details how his nation went from one of Europe’s poorest countries to a "Celtic tiger." by Michael Soltys
EU-MERCOSUR TRADE DEAL EU nears deal with Mercosur as Von Der Leyen heads to summit 05-12-2024 09:02 European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen due in Uruguay to attend Mercosur summit.
CPAC ARGENTINA CPAC Argentina: Milei calls for ‘cultural battle’ against left in speech 05-12-2024 01:00 President rails against leftie ‘zurdos’, attacks critical press outlets and calls for a right-wing “cultural battle” to refound the West.
POLITICS & CONGRESS Budget clash, extra sessions, Speaker Menem – Milei’s first year in Congress 04-12-2024 17:39 Despite being firmly in the minority, Milei has managed to amend over 100 laws since taking office and advance his programme of fiscal austerity. Nevertheless, tensions with allies and opposition persist, centred on the 2025 Budget, anti-graft laws and electoral reform. by Facundo Maceira
POLITICS Entre Ríos senator detained in Paraguay with US$200,000 in cash 04-12-2024 16:23 Senator for Entre Ríos Province Edgardo Kueider arrested on Paraguayan border carrying US$200,000 and 600,000 pesos in cash; Arrest of Peronist lawmaker, who has distanced himself from Kirchnerism and backed Javier Milei’s government in key votes, confirmed by Paraguayan authorities.
POLLING & SURVEYS Milei gains popularity as economy shows sign of life 04-12-2024 15:44 Argentines’ approval of his government rose to about 47% in November, compared with 43% the month before.
MERCOSUR SUMMIT IN MONTEVIDEO Mercosur members eye sealing of 'historic' free-trade deal with EU 04-12-2024 15:09 Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay are hoping to announce a blockbuster trade deal with the European Union at a regional summit Friday.
CONGRESS & POLITICS Milei has amended almost 100 laws by decree in first year in office 04-12-2024 14:40 Argentina’s President, a self-proclaimed lover of the Constitution, has signed DNU emergency decrees to override Congress on a host of issues – from the budget, to pension and public debt.
Argentina Shale FLNG Argentina LNG export project gathers backing from shale drillers 04-12-2024 13:18 Argentina has a plan to export liquefied natural gas, with drillers in shale patches now signed to supply fuel. This would be a US$3-billion liquefaction project.
MARKETS Buenos Aires City pitches first global bond sale since 2016 04-12-2024 13:13 Buenos Aires city is pitching the first global bond sale since 2016. Hoping to return to international capital markets, and city officials are already starting to meet with investors.
ANALYSIS Why Donald Trump and Javier Milei are worlds apart on austerity 04-12-2024 12:25 Donald Trump and Javier Milei have a shared favour of theatrics, but it does not reflect their economic strategies in vastly different contexts – the Argentine enforcing radical austerity and Trump preferring tax cuts and tariffs.
NEW RULES FOR IMMIGRANTS Argentina to charge foreigners for use of universities, public hospitals 03-12-2024 18:15 President Javier Milei’s government says it will introduce new rules allowing public hospitals and universities to charge foreigners, while tightening restrictions for expulsion and refusal of entry.
Foreign policy & diplomacy Milei to return to Italy this month, plans second trip to Davos 03-12-2024 17:37 President will travel to the Italian capital to attend the Atreju festival organised by Italian leader's party, Fratelli d'Italia. He also plans to attend January's World Economic Forum in Davos.