Analysing Argentina Re-election for Milei will require recalibration 08-06-2024 05:56 Investors, domestic and abroad, continue to have hopes that Milei will deliver … They are suddenly seeing red flags everywhere. by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS Milei enjoys peak honeymoon phase 02-12-2023 14:48 While serious doubts remain, Argentina’s president-elect is acting carefully and strategically in the conformation of his cabinet and government, seemingly betting on experience over ideology. Once the glow begins to dim and his “chainsaw” austerity plan is in full force, what Milei will face the music? by Agustino Fontevecchia
ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS Living in Milei’s world 25-11-2023 14:22 These initial steps are positive in maintaining the situation from blowing up but they are insufficient in and of themselves. Not only would this cordiality and cooperation have to be maintained over time, Milei’s strategy would actually have to work. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Method in his madness? 25-11-2023 14:16 Javier Milei’s solitary rise to the top from almost nowhere in a couple of years is more apparent than real. The key to this success is more like the solution to Agatha Christie’s 'Murder on the Orient Express' – they all did it. by Michael Soltys
ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS Into the unknown 20-11-2023 16:44 The emergence of an anti-political outsider and redrawing the map of the political scenario on yet uncertain bases – those are the first conclusions left by the consecration of Javier Milei. by Walter Curia
ELECTION 2023: ANALYSIS The lion king 20-11-2023 13:57 This presidential election was about change, and we knew that at least two years ago when the government lost the midterm legislative elections. The question was which opponent would take the laurels. by Carlos Fara
ELECTION 2023: RUN-OFF Massa concedes defeat; Milei elected Argentina's next president 19-11-2023 17:47 Economy Minister Sergio Massa concedes defeat in election run-off and congratulates rival; Libertarian lawmaker Javier Milei elected Argentina's next president.
ELECTIONS 2023 Argentina’s heartland shows quandary of election choice few want 17-11-2023 07:24 Argentina’s electoral dilemma is arguably felt most acutely in Cordoba, where 1.2 million voters opted for neither of the candidates in the run-off — the highest percentage of any district in the country.
POLITICS The new political configuration for 2024 07-11-2023 13:53 Horacio Rodríguez Larreta will seek refuge in a new foundation after the implosion of Juntos por el Cambio. Opposition governors, observing as the opposition implodes, are strengthening their regional power bases in time for negotiations with the next president. by Rodis Recalt
ELECTION 2023: OPINION Macri hates Massa more than Cristina and her Kirchnerites 04-11-2023 05:21 The talk of vanquishing Kirchnerism is as meaningless as when Milei speaks of Communists. Kirchnerism today is not Macri’s enemy, Massa is. by Jorge Fontevecchia
ELECTION 2023: ANALYSIS A new beginning 04-11-2023 05:08 A detailed analysis of the migration of votes between the August 13 primaries and the October 22 first round outlines some of the main challenges facing Sergio Massa and Javier Milei in the run-off. by Carlos De Angelis
EDITORIAL Decline and fall 28-10-2023 04:58 An internal crisis was always in the offing for Juntos por el Cambio but nobody was expecting the fragile unity to explode so openly within 48 hours.
ELECTION 2023: FALL-OUT Split ahead? Milei the dividing-line for Juntos por el Cambio 27-10-2023 09:45 UCR, Coalición Cívica and some PRO figures distance themselves from Bullrich and Macri in wake of Milei deal. With just over three weeks to go until the run-off, will the opposition coalition still be united by the time the run-off arrives?
ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS The reconfiguration of the political map 24-10-2023 16:16 Juntos por el Cambio runs the risk of disintegration after defeat. Milei’s congratulations to PRO’s two territorial winners – Jorge Macri and Rogelio Frigerio in Entre Ríos – and his repetition of the word “juntos” in his speech shows evidence of his intent. by Jorge Fontevecchia
Election winners and losers Massa the big winner of an election result few saw coming 23-10-2023 11:34 Patricia Bullrich was the big loser of a dramatic election night in Argentina. She was unable to seduce an electorate that ultimately did not consider her an option for "putting an end to populism.”
BLOOMBERG - ANALYSIS Anxiety boils over for Argentina’s bond investors ahead of vote 18-10-2023 14:27 Angst is spreading among holders of Argentina’s sovereign bonds, with nearly every scenario in Sunday’s presidential election pointing to further investment losses.
ELECTION 2023: ANALYSIS Insaurralde, Milei, Melconian and the dirty campaign 12-10-2023 14:46 We’re into the tortuous last stretch of the campaign and political operations are underway. by Javier Calvo
GUEST COLUMN Milei and Perón: one heart? 30-09-2023 05:11 Some suggestive parallels can be drawn between the phenomena embodied in the figures of Juan Domingo Perón and Javier Gerardo Milei.
ELECTION 2023 Can Bullrich and Massa face the ‘Milei-tide’? 30-09-2023 05:08 The only candidate who could be moderately competitive in a run-off against Milei appears to be Bullrich, who is the farthest from taking that spot, if opinion polls are to be trusted. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ELECTION 2023 Demystifying Javier Milei 23-09-2023 05:11 Milei is a mystical creature with an impenetrable halo above his head at the moment. His opponents appear weak and disoriented. Yet there is still ample room for surprises. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ELECTION 2023 Milei, Barrionuevo and the ‘casta sindical’ 22-09-2023 05:50 Restaurant worker chieftain Luis Barrionuevo, who has been meeting with libertarian presidential frontrunner Javier Milei, is perhaps the union leader with the greatest number of leaps and bounds in modern Argentine politics. by Javier Calvo
ELECTION 2023 Poll: Milei growing ahead of election, Massa on rise, Bullrich takes a dive 18-09-2023 17:41 New Opina Argentina survey offers projections ahead of the general election; Libertarian frontrunner grows in polls but comeback looks difficult for Bullrich; Massa on track to finish second.
Election 2023 Milei the destroyer and fear of the unexplainable 09-09-2023 05:09 The fear that Milei and his weird entourage of cosplayers, social media influencers, extreme-right “dictatorship deniers” and C-class corrupt political leeches generates has to do with a breakdown in the conditions of governability. by Agustino Fontevecchia
Election 2023 Milei, telepathic conversations with dogs and mental health 02-09-2023 06:17 Beyond allegedly having telepathic conversation with living and dead animals, God and historical economists, Milei has an extremely short fuse, quickly escalating into a level of rage that is uncommon in someone expected to lead in times of crisis. by Agustino Fontevecchia
OPINION & ANALYSIS Incentives and the near future 28-08-2023 07:30 It is possible for Argentina to emerge from the difficult situation in which the country finds itself, but a comprehensive economic programme with centralised coordination and the broadest political support possible is necessary. by Martín A. Morgenstern
PASO PRIMARIES 2023 – ANALYSIS Milei and reaping what you sowed 19-08-2023 08:05 There could be another 1.2 million voters heading to the ballots on October 22 from increased participation. Assuming Bullrich and Massa absorb all of their primary rivals’ voters, will they be able to capture enough of those ‘new’ voters? by Agustino Fontevecchia
PASO PRIMARIES 2023 – ANALYSIS Milei, the libertarian who speaks to the dead, has already won 18-08-2023 10:56 Argentina’s outsider-turned-frontrunner, Javier Milei, entered this electoral contest as he entered his first: the libertarian deputy set the tone of the debate and changed the agenda. by Juan Luis González
ELECTIONS 2023 Kicillof offers ruling coalition reason to be cheerful with PASO win 16-08-2023 15:45 Grindetti rules out an electoral pact with La Libertad Avanza rival in Buenos Aires Province as primary boosts incumbent governor’s re-election hopes.
PROFILE: JAVIER MILEI What to know about Javier Milei, Argentina's electoral phenomenon 15-08-2023 15:24 Javier Milei, the brash libertarian who won more than seven million votes in last weekend's PASO primaries, has taken his anti-establishment ultra-liberal nationwide.
PASO PRIMARIES 2023 – ANALYSIS The serpent’s egg 15-08-2023 14:26 Until now the PASO primary winner has always reached the Presidency or at least the run-off. Does this guarantee Milei a place in the second round with Patricia Bullrich and Sergio Massa fighting it out for the other spot? by Jorge Fontevecchia
REACTION TO PRIMARIES IMF sets date for disbursements, backs devaluation 14-08-2023 21:59 International Monetary Fund backs Argentina's devaluation of peso and raising of benchmark interest rates; Spokesperson confirmes August 23 meeting to approve release of funds.
ELECTION 2023: PASO PRIMARIES The night Horacio Rodríguez Larreta's Casa Rosada dream died 14-08-2023 15:50 At the opposition coalition's 'unity' bunker on Sunday night, Patricia Bullrich revelled in her victory and thanked Horacio Rodríguez Larreta. Behind her embrace is a simple truth: Bullrich will need her rival's votes if she is to win the race for the Casa Rosada. by Ezequiel Spillman
PASO PRIMARIES 2023 – ANALYSIS Key takeaways from Argentina’s primary vote surprise 14-08-2023 13:57 Outsider economist Javier Milei’s surprise win in Argentina’s presidential primaries sent markets tumbling. Here are the key takeaways.
ELECTIONS 2023 Milei’s plan for Argentina: Dollarisation, scrapping taxes and more 14-08-2023 13:51 From ditching the struggling peso to eventually eliminating Argentina’s Central Bank, outsider presidential candidate Javier Milei has vowed to implement a series of bold — and perhaps unfeasible — measures.
PASO PRIMARIES 2023 – ANALYSIS Libertarian shift – the 16 provinces where Javier Milei triumphed 14-08-2023 13:24 Economist and national deputy scored surprising wins in 16 of the 24 districts across national territory; Stronger than expected performance outside of the capital and Buenos Aires Province.
PASO PRIMARIES 2023 – ANALYSIS Towards a new political order 14-08-2023 12:52 In just a few years Javier Milei managed to become known throughout Argentina, an achievement that takes many politicians a lifetime. Whether he is a product of circumstance or a new fixture in the political landscape will be confirmed in October, but he can no longer be considered an outsider. by Carlos De Angelis
ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS Eight winners from the 2023 PASO primaries 14-08-2023 12:11 With Javier Milei in pole position, the list of those with reasons to celebrate also includes Radicals, PRO leaders and Peronist mayors. by Maximiliano Sardi
ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS Three surprises 10-08-2023 23:30 The harrowing nature of the crime, the fact that it was caught on security cameras and broadcasted nationally almost in real time, and its proximity to the PASO primaries means it could have a lasting impact on the political field. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS An electorate fearful of the present and doubtful of the future 10-08-2023 23:17 In moments of crisis the country needs transformational leaders who are clear about the situation it is in and who can mark the path towards inclusive solutions. by Hugo Haime
BLOOMBERG – ANALYSIS Argentina’s assets to watch before key primary election 10-08-2023 15:20 Argentines will head to the polls in a nationwide primary election on Sunday, with traders watching closely for signs of regime change in the debt-ridden nation mired in yet another economic crisis.
ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS The Argentine paradox becomes ever more explicit 15-07-2023 06:40 The paradox of an ‘Argentine miracle’ while on the verge of default and runaway inflation. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS Only the quickest, the meanest and baddest will prevail 08-07-2023 06:13 Campaigning is truly underway for the PASO primaries. Things are getting serious and the political system is showing its true colours, with all sorts of treachery and mischief coming to the fore. by Agustino Fontevecchia
BLOOMBERG - ANALYSIS JP Spinetto: As Argentina turns right, prepare for turbulence 27-06-2023 09:42 Investors are right to be cheered by a shift in the country’s politics, but changing its economic policies will be difficult.
ELECTIONS 2023 Argentina’s political hegemony crumbles in the face of primaries 17-06-2023 06:04 In a nation accustomed to charismatic leaders that create vertical organisations, the fragmentation of the political field is creating a whole lot of stress and volatility. And savagery has taken over. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICAL AND FINANCIAL INSTABILITY $420: The ‘elegant’ dollar 22-04-2023 06:23 This is the level of tension and uncertainty with which the Casa Rosada, the Economy Ministry, and Vice-President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s closest allies live, the day-to-day vicissitudes of a failing administration. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Of palindromes and black rivers (and this city) 15-04-2023 06:36 It’s impossible to ignore the fireworks over this city’s electoral system, but we should also cast an eye down south – this year’s voting begins in earnest with tomorrow’s provincial elections in Neuquén and Río Negro. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – OPINION Enemies 15-03-2023 11:55 Does Alberto Fernández really believe that he has a chance of winning a head-to-head battle with a candidate supported by Cristina, or better still, with the vice-president herself? by Carlos De Angelis
POLITICAL ANALYSIS The ornithology of Frente de Todos and Juntos por el Cambio 11-02-2023 07:00 Argentina has been locked in a bi-coalitionism over the past several electoral periods, but the novel element this time around is the internal fragmentation of both spaces. by Agustino Fontevecchia
Plan Massa Peronist gradualism 21-01-2023 05:46 Once again Sergio Massa has taken the spotlight. As the electoral year gets going, he seems to be placing his bets on managing to bring inflation down while keeping the economy in positive territory to become the main candidate for the pan-Peronist coalition, Frente de Todos. by Agustino Fontevecchia