News of argentina election analysis

The City and the Senate

15-11-2025 05:05 While the government’s overall midterm triumph represented a huge shift from gloomy pre-electoral expectations, this city’s results did not show that much change from last May’s local voting.

by Michael Soltys

Two abysses

05-11-2025 10:29 Society voted no twice. No to the future being offered by Milei (September) and no to the past offered by Peronism (October). Dissatisfaction with everybody. In not opting for the alternatives to polarisation, the voters gave an extra life to the government and Peronism. A respite.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

Two-faced Milei: a second chance, but also a risk for Argentina

01-11-2025 06:10 Will Milei take advantage of the opportunity he has been granted in order to pursue a constructive political and economic agenda? Or will he use his newfound power to double down on his plan with no corrections?

by Agustino Fontevecchia

As Argentina surges back, peso shows limit to Milei euphoria

28-10-2025 10:46 Argentina officials have repeatedly said they aren’t planning on enacting any changes to the current exchange-rate policy. As trading wore on Monday, the currency steadily pulled back from its early morning surge.

The midterms are over – can Milei reinvent himself?

25-10-2025 06:17 For more than a year, Milei invested too much energy and resources in an election that was not structurally designed to change much of his future. He only seems to have come to understand that in recent weeks, when it became clear that La Libertad Avanza will not turn into a hegemonic force overnight.

by Marcelo J. García

Milei, the two Caputos and the two anchors

25-10-2025 06:08 Milei and the two Caputos have the path laid out for them. The “two anchors” that will give them a future are tied to applying the necessary adaptations to the economic policy plan and creating the conditions for circumstantial legislative majorities. This situation appears possible under any electoral scenario, even a potent Peronist victory.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Trump card or joker in the pack?

18-10-2025 06:15 Milei’s government is confident of success in only seven of Argentina's 24 districts but this fails to point out that fears of defeat are also only limited to seven provinces, with the other 10 up in the air.

by Michael Soltys

‘Panic Show’ name of the game

11-10-2025 06:00 We are told that the choice is “libertad or kirchnerismo” but neither libertarians nor Kirchnerism will be able to do very much with the 110 of the 257 seats accruing to whoever wins – Argentina’s middle ground has far less seats than Brazil’s "centrão" but could carry equivalent clout.

by Michael Soltys

Wake Milei up when September ends

20-09-2025 06:25 Both the economy and the politics of the country are telling President Milei he cannot fly solo anymore.

by Marcelo J. García

How Milei raised the bar and paid the price in Buenos Aires Province

13-09-2025 06:54 The market and the political ecosystem, seems to have recalibrated its expectations, putting further financial pressure on the government.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Election analysis: Peronism scores wins in districts for first time in 20 years

10-09-2025 13:44 Fuerza Patria finished top in the Second and Fourth Sections of Buenos Aires Province; La Libertad Avanza claimed victory in only two, the Fifth, centred on Mar del Plata, and the Sixth, with Bahía Blanca the main city.

Brow-beaten Milei nears Argentina's 'third year' syndrome

08-09-2025 20:48 Milei is still around 90 days short of the start of his third year, but the defeat in the Buenos Aires Province election means the countdown to the nationwide October 26 midterms is on.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

Inflation and the ballot box: Milei bets on falling prices to win votes

18-06-2025 12:46 Monthly CPI and wholesale rates are now central to the government’s election strategy – but questions are mounting over purchasing power and price-controlled services.

by Gonzalo Martínez

On a mission in omission

07-06-2025 06:34 Voting for provincial deputies in Misiones is more likely to be a landslide for the local ruling party than any electoral earthquake.

by Michael Soltys

Re-election in 2027? It’s Milei’s to lose

17-05-2025 06:53 Milei has at hand all the variables that will determine his future. Winning or losing will depend on how he handles them. The more pragmatic and less ideological, the better.

by Marcelo J. García

New songs and Peronism

10-05-2025 07:50 Kirchnerism has no lyrics for its new songs – every intervention by CFK against Milei is always geared to the economic terrain, but from the perspective of his collapse and not improving on his achievements.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

Can Kicillof break the spell?

08-02-2025 06:11 If the current political trajectory stands, Kicillof would face an uphill battle … but Argentina has shown in recent years that "impossible" is not in the local political dictionary.

by Marcelo J. García

Move over Javi, the Big Boss is back

09-11-2024 06:24 The return of Donald Trump, the undisputed 'top dog' of the new right, will consolidate a global movement that, up until now, appeared to be somewhat disjointed.

by Agustino Fontevecchia