News of argentina election analysis

Ex-Peronist politicians at heart of La Libertad Avanza’s defeat in BA Province

11-09-2025 15:08 Ruling party’s leader in the district, Sebastián Pareja, and Moreno mayoral candidate Ramón Vera are Peronists who made themselves indispensable for the Mileis in the Buenos Aires Province structure. Yet theylost out in an election which the government had presented as a key test of national governance.

by Juan Cruz Soqueira

Election analysis: Peronism scores wins in districts for first time in 20 years

10-09-2025 13:44 Fuerza Patria finished top in the Second and Fourth Sections of Buenos Aires Province; La Libertad Avanza claimed victory in only two, the Fifth, centred on Mar del Plata, and the Sixth, with Bahía Blanca the main city.

Inflation ticked up slightly last month, less than expected

14-07-2025 18:54 Inflation ticked up slightly but less than expected in June, another win for President Javier Milei ahead of midterm elections.

Inflation and the ballot box: Milei bets on falling prices to win votes

18-06-2025 12:46 Monthly CPI and wholesale rates are now central to the government’s election strategy – but questions are mounting over purchasing power and price-controlled services.

by Gonzalo Martínez

30% in the City – just how well did La Libertad Avanza do?

20-05-2025 16:34 All the polls point to an Argentina split down the middle. Within those two universes increasingly extreme stances coexist on both sides.

Re-election in 2027? It’s Milei’s to lose

17-05-2025 06:53 Milei has at hand all the variables that will determine his future. Winning or losing will depend on how he handles them. The more pragmatic and less ideological, the better.

by Marcelo J. García

Milei dreams of re-election – with IMF's help

19-04-2025 06:00 Whether signing an IMF deal represents a “day of liberation” or one of mourning, it lifts a cloud of uncertainty and allows the political ecosystem to focus on upcoming elections.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Can Kicillof break the spell?

08-02-2025 06:11 If the current political trajectory stands, Kicillof would face an uphill battle … but Argentina has shown in recent years that "impossible" is not in the local political dictionary.

by Marcelo J. García

Re-election for Milei will require recalibration

08-06-2024 05:56 Investors, domestic and abroad, continue to have hopes that Milei will deliver … They are suddenly seeing red flags everywhere.

by Marcelo J. García

Milei enjoys peak honeymoon phase

02-12-2023 14:48 While serious doubts remain, Argentina’s president-elect is acting carefully and strategically in the conformation of his cabinet and government, seemingly betting on experience over ideology. Once the glow begins to dim and his “chainsaw” austerity plan is in full force, what Milei will face the music?

by Agustino Fontevecchia

The lion king

20-11-2023 13:57 This presidential election was about change, and we knew that at least two years ago when the government lost the midterm legislative elections. The question was which opponent would take the laurels.

by Carlos Fara

Massa concedes defeat; Milei elected Argentina's next president

19-11-2023 17:47 Economy Minister Sergio Massa concedes defeat in election run-off and congratulates rival; Libertarian lawmaker Javier Milei elected Argentina's next president.

Macri hates Massa more than Cristina and her Kirchnerites

04-11-2023 05:21 The talk of vanquishing Kirchnerism is as meaningless as when Milei speaks of Communists. Kirchnerism today is not Macri’s enemy, Massa is.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

A new beginning

04-11-2023 05:08 A detailed analysis of the migration of votes between the August 13 primaries and the October 22 first round outlines some of the main challenges facing Sergio Massa and Javier Milei in the run-off.

by Carlos De Angelis

Massa the big winner of an election result few saw coming

23-10-2023 11:34 Patricia Bullrich was the big loser of a dramatic election night in Argentina. She was unable to seduce an electorate that ultimately did not consider her an option for "putting an end to populism.”

Anxiety boils over for Argentina’s bond investors ahead of vote

18-10-2023 14:27 Angst is spreading among holders of Argentina’s sovereign bonds, with nearly every scenario in Sunday’s presidential election pointing to further investment losses.

Demystifying Javier Milei

23-09-2023 05:11 Milei is a mystical creature with an impenetrable halo above his head at the moment. His opponents appear weak and disoriented. Yet there is still ample room for surprises.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Milei, Barrionuevo and the ‘casta sindical’

22-09-2023 05:50 Restaurant worker chieftain Luis Barrionuevo, who has been meeting with libertarian presidential frontrunner Javier Milei, is perhaps the union leader with the greatest number of leaps and bounds in modern Argentine politics.

by Javier Calvo