News of argentina election analysis

Greedy and corrupt libertarians?

23-08-2025 06:15 Smear campaign tactics are a defining characteristic of the Argentine political ecosystem during the electoral season. Corruption has risen as a preoccupation for everyday citizens, but it is still the economy that will determine whether or not Milei is successful.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

ECONOMY – ANALYSIS

Inflation ticked up slightly last month, less than expected

14-07-2025 18:54 Inflation ticked up slightly but less than expected in June, another win for President Javier Milei ahead of midterm elections.

ANALYSIS

Inflation and the ballot box: Milei bets on falling prices to win votes

18-06-2025 12:46 Monthly CPI and wholesale rates are now central to the government’s election strategy – but questions are mounting over purchasing power and price-controlled services.

by Gonzalo Martínez

Campaign comments

On a mission in omission

07-06-2025 06:34 Voting for provincial deputies in Misiones is more likely to be a landslide for the local ruling party than any electoral earthquake.

by Michael Soltys

POLITICS – ANALYSIS

CFK's return risks dividing opposition in boon for Milei

03-06-2025 14:22 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner's decision to run in September’s legislative elections in Buenos Aires Province will set the stage for the national midterm vote the following month.

Analysing Argentina

Milei chooses to ignore emerging consensuses

31-05-2025 06:23 With less than five months to the midterm vote, nothing seems to be standing in the way of a good result for the government. But Milei 2025 should already start thinking about Milei 2027

by Marcelo J. García

ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY

30% in the City – just how well did La Libertad Avanza do?

20-05-2025 16:34 All the polls point to an Argentina split down the middle. Within those two universes increasingly extreme stances coexist on both sides.

Analysing Argentina

Re-election in 2027? It’s Milei’s to lose

17-05-2025 06:53 Milei has at hand all the variables that will determine his future. Winning or losing will depend on how he handles them. The more pragmatic and less ideological, the better.

by Marcelo J. García

OPINION & ANALYSIS

New songs and Peronism

10-05-2025 07:50 Kirchnerism has no lyrics for its new songs – every intervention by CFK against Milei is always geared to the economic terrain, but from the perspective of his collapse and not improving on his achievements.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

CAMPAIGN COMMENTS

Four-by-four voting

10-05-2025 07:20 Next weekend’s City race hogs the electoral limelight but there is voting even closer in time – like tomorrow when four provinces will be advancing their midterms.

by Michael Soltys

Analysing Argentina

The shepherd who lost his country

26-04-2025 05:00 Argentina electing Milei, just as an Argentine was running the Vatican on a unifying message, is as if John Paul II had seen his Polish compatriots vote for a version of Joseph Stalin, rather than Lech Wałęsa.

by Marcelo J. García

POLITICS & ECONOMY – ANALYSIS

Milei dreams of re-election – with IMF's help

19-04-2025 06:00 Whether signing an IMF deal represents a “day of liberation” or one of mourning, it lifts a cloud of uncertainty and allows the political ecosystem to focus on upcoming elections.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Analysing Argentina

Can Kicillof break the spell?

08-02-2025 06:11 If the current political trajectory stands, Kicillof would face an uphill battle … but Argentina has shown in recent years that "impossible" is not in the local political dictionary.

by Marcelo J. García

POLITICS – ANALYSIS

Move over Javi, the Big Boss is back

09-11-2024 06:24 The return of Donald Trump, the undisputed 'top dog' of the new right, will consolidate a global movement that, up until now, appeared to be somewhat disjointed.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

ANALYSING ARGENTINA

Welcome to the New Political Order

09-11-2024 06:01 Trump’s victory and the Brexit referendum in 2016 marked the first significant political manifestations of a change of order. Trump’s impressive comeback this week appears to solidify it further. The next question is where President Javier Milei fits into this puzzle.

by Marcelo J. García

Analysing Argentina

Milei’s magical thinking about a Trump victory

02-11-2024 07:38 Argentina — or Latin America, for that matter — will not be an immediate priority for any incoming US administration, though Milei may leverage his ideological rapport with a potential President Trump.

by Marcelo J. García

Analysing Argentina

Re-election for Milei will require recalibration

08-06-2024 05:56 Investors, domestic and abroad, continue to have hopes that Milei will deliver … They are suddenly seeing red flags everywhere.

by Marcelo J. García

POLITICS

Milei enjoys peak honeymoon phase

02-12-2023 14:48 While serious doubts remain, Argentina’s president-elect is acting carefully and strategically in the conformation of his cabinet and government, seemingly betting on experience over ideology. Once the glow begins to dim and his “chainsaw” austerity plan is in full force, what Milei will face the music?

by Agustino Fontevecchia

ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS

Living in Milei’s world

25-11-2023 14:22 These initial steps are positive in maintaining the situation from blowing up but they are insufficient in and of themselves. Not only would this cordiality and cooperation have to be maintained over time, Milei’s strategy would actually have to work.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

CAMPAIGN COMMENTS

Method in his madness?

25-11-2023 14:16 Javier Milei’s solitary rise to the top from almost nowhere in a couple of years is more apparent than real. The key to this success is more like the solution to Agatha Christie’s 'Murder on the Orient Express' – they all did it.

by Michael Soltys

ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS

Into the unknown

20-11-2023 16:44 The emergence of an anti-political outsider and redrawing the map of the political scenario on yet uncertain bases – those are the first conclusions left by the consecration of Javier Milei.

by Walter Curia

ELECTION 2023: ANALYSIS

The lion king

20-11-2023 13:57 This presidential election was about change, and we knew that at least two years ago when the government lost the midterm legislative elections. The question was which opponent would take the laurels.

by Carlos Fara

ELECTION 2023: RUN-OFF

Massa concedes defeat; Milei elected Argentina's next president

19-11-2023 17:47 Economy Minister Sergio Massa concedes defeat in election run-off and congratulates rival; Libertarian lawmaker Javier Milei elected Argentina's next president.

ELECTIONS 2023

Argentina’s heartland shows quandary of election choice few want

17-11-2023 07:24 Argentina’s electoral dilemma is arguably felt most acutely in Cordoba, where 1.2 million voters opted for neither of the candidates in the run-off — the highest percentage of any district in the country.

EDITORIAL

It’s up to you

11-11-2023 05:46 Reader, it is up to you. Choose wisely.

POLITICS

The new political configuration for 2024

07-11-2023 13:53 Horacio Rodríguez Larreta will seek refuge in a new foundation after the implosion of Juntos por el Cambio. Opposition governors, observing as the opposition implodes, are strengthening their regional power bases in time for negotiations with the next president.

by Rodis Recalt

ELECTION 2023: OPINION

Macri hates Massa more than Cristina and her Kirchnerites

04-11-2023 05:21 The talk of vanquishing Kirchnerism is as meaningless as when Milei speaks of Communists. Kirchnerism today is not Macri’s enemy, Massa is.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

ELECTION 2023: ANALYSIS

A new beginning

04-11-2023 05:08 A detailed analysis of the migration of votes between the August 13 primaries and the October 22 first round outlines some of the main challenges facing Sergio Massa and Javier Milei in the run-off.

by Carlos De Angelis

EDITORIAL

Decline and fall

28-10-2023 04:58 An internal crisis was always in the offing for Juntos por el Cambio but nobody was expecting the fragile unity to explode so openly within 48 hours.

ELECTION 2023: FALL-OUT

Split ahead? Milei the dividing-line for Juntos por el Cambio

27-10-2023 09:45 UCR, Coalición Cívica and some PRO figures distance themselves from Bullrich and Macri in wake of Milei deal. With just over three weeks to go until the run-off, will the opposition coalition still be united by the time the run-off arrives?

ELECTIONS 2023 – ANALYSIS

The reconfiguration of the political map

24-10-2023 16:16 Juntos por el Cambio runs the risk of disintegration after defeat. Milei’s congratulations to PRO’s two territorial winners – Jorge Macri and Rogelio Frigerio in Entre Ríos – and his repetition of the word “juntos” in his speech shows evidence of his intent.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

Election winners and losers

Massa the big winner of an election result few saw coming

23-10-2023 11:34 Patricia Bullrich was the big loser of a dramatic election night in Argentina. She was unable to seduce an electorate that ultimately did not consider her an option for "putting an end to populism.”

BLOOMBERG - ANALYSIS

Anxiety boils over for Argentina’s bond investors ahead of vote

18-10-2023 14:27 Angst is spreading among holders of Argentina’s sovereign bonds, with nearly every scenario in Sunday’s presidential election pointing to further investment losses.

ELECTION 2023: ANALYSIS

Insaurralde, Milei, Melconian and the dirty campaign

12-10-2023 14:46 We’re into the tortuous last stretch of the campaign and political operations are underway.

by Javier Calvo

GUEST COLUMN

Milei and Perón: one heart?

30-09-2023 05:11 Some suggestive parallels can be drawn between the phenomena embodied in the figures of Juan Domingo Perón and Javier Gerardo Milei.

ELECTION 2023

Can Bullrich and Massa face the ‘Milei-tide’?

30-09-2023 05:08 The only candidate who could be moderately competitive in a run-off against Milei appears to be Bullrich, who is the farthest from taking that spot, if opinion polls are to be trusted.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

ELECTION 2023

Demystifying Javier Milei

23-09-2023 05:11 Milei is a mystical creature with an impenetrable halo above his head at the moment. His opponents appear weak and disoriented. Yet there is still ample room for surprises.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

ELECTION 2023

Milei, Barrionuevo and the ‘casta sindical’

22-09-2023 05:50 Restaurant worker chieftain Luis Barrionuevo, who has been meeting with libertarian presidential frontrunner Javier Milei, is perhaps the union leader with the greatest number of leaps and bounds in modern Argentine politics.

by Javier Calvo

ELECTION 2023

Poll: Milei growing ahead of election, Massa on rise, Bullrich takes a dive

18-09-2023 17:41 New Opina Argentina survey offers projections ahead of the general election; Libertarian frontrunner grows in polls but comeback looks difficult for Bullrich; Massa on track to finish second.

Election 2023

Milei the destroyer and fear of the unexplainable

09-09-2023 05:09 The fear that Milei and his weird entourage of cosplayers, social media influencers, extreme-right “dictatorship deniers” and C-class corrupt political leeches generates has to do with a breakdown in the conditions of governability.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Election 2023

Milei, telepathic conversations with dogs and mental health

02-09-2023 06:17 Beyond allegedly having telepathic conversation with living and dead animals, God and historical economists, Milei has an extremely short fuse, quickly escalating into a level of rage that is uncommon in someone expected to lead in times of crisis.

by Agustino Fontevecchia