ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS How Milei raised the bar and paid the price in Buenos Aires Province 13-09-2025 06:54 The market and the political ecosystem, seems to have recalibrated its expectations, putting further financial pressure on the government. by Agustino Fontevecchia
Campaign comments Blast from the past 13-09-2025 06:09 Last Sunday’s election was very much the mayoral tail wagging the dog and here we’re not just talking about Greater Buenos Aires Peronist “barons” – almost the only successes of third parties came thanks to the PRO mayors bucking the Milei alliance, proving mayoral clout beyond the general trend. by Michael Soltys
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES PROVINCE Election analysis: Peronism scores wins in districts for first time in 20 years 10-09-2025 13:44 Fuerza Patria finished top in the Second and Fourth Sections of Buenos Aires Province; La Libertad Avanza claimed victory in only two, the Fifth, centred on Mar del Plata, and the Sixth, with Bahía Blanca the main city.
ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS Argentina’s divided opposition may be Milei’s greatest asset 04-09-2025 07:00 Milei’s greatest advantage is not his economic programme or ideological crusade, but the incoherence of those who oppose him.
POLLING & SURVEYS Poll: Milei’s party, Peronists neck-and-neck in Buenos Aires Province 02-09-2025 10:38 Tight race expected in Buenos Aires Province elections; Fuerza Patria slightly ahead of La Libertad Avanza-PRO, according to new poll, but within margin of error.
ELECTIONS 2025: ANALYSIS Analysts give take on electoral slates for October election 23-08-2025 06:46 La Libertad Avanza’s hegemonic project, a Peronist survival bid and an accepted secondary role for PRO. Milei versus Kirchnerism polarisation promises to be the dominant theme of the campaign heading into October. by Giselle Leclercq
Campaign comments Ins and outs of Congress 23-08-2025 06:42 Almost all those deputies taking their leave would doubtless be rubbished by President Milei as “caste” but most carry a political weight far from evident in their prospective replacements. by Michael Soltys
ELECTION 2025: POLLING Poll: Milei alliance with PRO could pay off in October midterms 20-08-2025 09:53 Management & Fit survey shows LLA-PRO ticket polling 15 points ahead of Kirchnerism as midterms loom; No other force surpasses 10 points.
POLITICS Milei set to lose Bullrich and Petri after elections, reshuffle ahead 18-08-2025 12:42 Security and Defence ministers likely to leave Cabinet in December; Former Juntos por el Cambio presidential ticket now set to run for congressional posts representing La Libertad Avanza.
ELECTIONS 2025 October legislative race takes shape, polarised contest looms 18-08-2025 12:21 La Libertad Avanza, Peronism, centre-ground Provincias Unidas and left-wing fronts close candidate lists ahead of a pivotal vote for Javier Milei’s government.
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 Candidate debate: Decisive week for Argentina’s political forces 11-08-2025 12:08 Political parties are locked in last-minute negotiations to finalise their candidate lists before Sunday’s registration deadline; LLA-PRO alliance confirmed as PJ inks Fuerza Patria front in just over half of provinces.
Campaign comments Deadlines or lifelines? 09-08-2025 06:52 We have confirmation of one important definition – the La Libertad Avanza far right and the PRO centre-right extending their Buenos Aires Province alliance to this city. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 PRO now pro-libertarian in City too 08-08-2025 14:11 Macri-led party gives up its dominance in the capital by agreeing alliance with President Milei’s La Libertad Avanza in Buenos Aires City.
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Anatomy of a macrocephalic 19-07-2025 18:53 While the last census of 2022 showed that Argentina’s population had risen some 15% since the Bicentenary count of 2010, the population of Greater Buenos Aires only rose 9%. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Corruption claims and political miscalculations 12-07-2025 06:16 The Milei government must defend its hard-fought macroeconomic stability at all costs, at least until the election. That’s why Caputo and Milei went on the offensive, making the rounds with their typical, friendly interviewers to accuse provincial governors and the opposition at large of seeking to destabilise the government. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Independence for whom? 12-07-2025 06:13 The Independence Day alliance on the right leaves the Peronists playing catch up after their stab at unification at the Partido Justicialista Congress. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 La Libertad Avanza, PRO ink alliance in Buenos Aires Province 09-07-2025 14:49 Parties led by Macri and Milei agree to join forces in key battleground region for September 7 election; Alliance, formalised by Ritondo and Pareja, offers a united front against Kirchnerism on Peronism’s home turf.
DEBT & BONDS Buenos Aires Province debt climbs as Milei confronts local election test 05-06-2025 12:35 Dollar notes issued by Buenos Aires Province are the best-performing government credits across emerging-markets since La Libertad Avanza won in a city hall race in mid-May.
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Where angels fear to tread 31-05-2025 06:33 The demolition job suffered by PRO in the City has most provinces now thinking twice about advancing their elections and exposing local hegemonies to the forces of heaven. by Michael Soltys
Campaign comments Milei’s purple patch 24-05-2025 06:38 The headlines all reflect a Milei triumph and a PRO catastrophe (the government objectives in almost equal measure), both accurate enough but also relative. by Michael Soltys
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY 30% in the City – just how well did La Libertad Avanza do? 20-05-2025 16:34 All the polls point to an Argentina split down the middle. Within those two universes increasingly extreme stances coexist on both sides.
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY City election reveals Argentina’s new democracy 19-05-2025 15:49 The internal rivalry within the right has finally been settled with Milei’s victory on Macri’s home turf. by Eduardo Fidanza
ELECTIONS 2025 Euphoric Milei predicts ‘another shock’ in Buenos Aires Province 19-05-2025 14:44 Fresh off the back of City election win for his La Libertad Avanza party, President Javier Milei predicts a win in neighbouring Buenos Aires Province in September.
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY PRO versus La Libertad Avanza: Chronicle of a death foretold? 18-05-2025 23:26 With the necessary caveats, the time that passed between the 2023 election and this weekend’s elections in Buenos Aires City could be seen as a remake of ‘The Sixth Sense’: PRO had been “dead” all along – but didn’t know it. by Juan Luis González
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei wins big in Buenos Aires City vote, dethroning Macri 18-05-2025 22:56 Javier Milei cements his hold on Argentina’s political right months before pivotal midterm elections.
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY Adorni hails ‘win for freedom,’ takes aim at PRO, Peronists 18-05-2025 22:35 Javier Milei gave the baton to his top spokesman and the candidate delivered; Manuel Adorni calls for allies to join La Libertad Avanza in order to “end Kirchnerism.”
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY City elections: Winners and losers from a dramatic night 18-05-2025 21:55 Victory for President Milei’s La Libertad Avanza; PRO suffers worst defeat since taking power in Buenos Aires City almost two decades ago; Peronism finishes second.
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY Victory for Milei in capital as La Libertad Avanza advances on PRO 18-05-2025 20:49 First place for La Libertad Avanza and its slate headed by Presidential Spokesperson Manuel Adorni; Peronist candidate Leandro Santoro slightly behind in second place, with PRO’s Silvia Lospennato trailing way behind in third.
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY Milei, Macri exchange insults as fake AI video angers PRO 18-05-2025 18:16 Mauricio Macri and Silvia Lospennato point finger at La Libertad Avanza and its online militants for AI video; Low-quality clip shared by libertarian social media accounts falsely claims ex-president pulled PRO candidate, endorsed Manuel Adorni in City elections.
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY Test for Milei as City vote goes national 16-05-2025 10:34 PRO’s hegemony in Buenos Aires City in balance; La Libertad Avanza eyes breakthrough with Adorni a placeholder for Milei; Peronists confident.
POLITICS & CONGRESS 'Ficha Limpia' fallout: Recriminations fly, Milei points at Macri 12-05-2025 22:57 Misiones minister deepens confusion around ‘Ficha Limpia’ vote; Milei denounces "agreement" between PRO and Peronism; Macri slams “serious hallucination” with video of Silvia Lospennato defending bill.
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Fernández de Kirchner’s present points to Milei’s future 10-05-2025 07:55 Like Milei today, Fernández de Kirchner and Macri once believed their power was unlimited and their future bright. The way they engaged with their adversaries only came back later to haunt them. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS Pato changes her spots (again) – Bullrich quits PRO, joins Milei's party 06-05-2025 22:05 Former party colleagues accuse national security minister of “turning her back on those who voted for her” and damaging her “reputation,” as political chameleon shifts sides once again. by James Grainger
elections 2025 City midterms: Tensions on right, but PRO vows clean fight 04-04-2025 14:52 Presidential Spokesperson Manuel Adorni, who will run for the City legislature this May, promises to take up his seat if elected.
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 Who’s who: The candidates heading lists for Buenos Aires City midterms 30-03-2025 10:01 Main candidates are already defined for the Buenos Aires City midterms in May – Silvia Lospennato, Leandro Santoro, Manuel Adorni, Horacio Rodríguez Larreta and Ramiro Marra are the names that head the highest-polling options.
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 City elections: Candidate Adorni, Marra to run, Lospennato emerges 28-03-2025 13:52 Focus on the countdown to candidate list registrations for the upcoming May 18 elections for the Buenos Aires City legislature.
POLITICS Rodríguez Larreta confirms midterms run after PRO expulsion talk 18-03-2025 21:58 Former Buenos Aires City mayor confirms run in May 18 City midterms; He will likely do so under a new banner – a reaction to reported move by PRO members to expel him. by James Grainger
Analysing Argentina Flooding the zone might drown the Milei administration 01-03-2025 05:24 The fragility of Argentina’s economy demands sobriety and steadiness — something that zone-flooders may lack as they attempt to sow confusion. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS & JUDICIARY PRO says it won’t support Milei’s Supreme Court push 27-02-2025 19:50 Former president Mauricio Macri – who in 2015 attempted to impose Supreme Court justices by decree before backtracking – says his PRO party will not support appointment by decree.
POLITICS Rodríguez Larreta says he will return to frontline politics 25-02-2025 17:18 Former Buenos Aires City mayor and failed presidential candidate to stand as candidate in upcoming elections “as a lawmaker, as a deputy or as a senator.”
POLITICS – ANALYSIS From PRO to Cambiemos… to Juntos por el Cambio or Juntos? 01-02-2025 08:56 Milei’s first year in office has indicated the need for the ex-members of Juntos por el Cambio to recover their identity. by Jorge Fontevecchia
Analysing Argentina Macri is fighting for his life – he will lose 01-02-2025 08:48 Mauricio Macri is making a desperate attempt to keep his political structure alive — and under his wing. by Marcelo J. García
Police Protest Crackdown Pro-Morales protesters clash with police in Bolivia, dozens arrested 15-01-2025 17:04 Bolivian police arrest more than 40 supporters of Evo Morales as political and judicial tensions soar.
POLITICS Macri tells Milei he’s ready to team up for midterms 09-01-2025 21:13 Former president uses social media to respond to head of state’s flirting and tells him PRO is “ready to form a work team with whoever you offer.”
BEYOND THE HEADLINES Caste away 21-12-2024 05:07 If our parliamentarians are going to be their own men or women, some way must be found of making them fully accountable to their voters. by Michael Soltys
EDITORIAL The near in blood, the nearer bloody 21-12-2024 05:07 Time to stop being the snake biting its own tail and return to being the libertarian lion against the caste instead of co-opting it.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES 'Cause I was the taxwoman 14-12-2024 05:39 ARCA (until recently AFIP) tax bureau chief Florencia Misrahi’s dismissal could be worth a closer look to have some idea of where the Milei government is heading as its second year begins. by Michael Soltys
Congress & Politics No 'ficha limpia’: PRO anger as absences down anti-graft bill 28-11-2024 21:52 Second failure for ‘Ficha Limpa’ anti-corruption bill in lower house; With striking absences, Chamber of Deputies fails to even make quorum, let alone debate bill.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Macri and Milei’s ‘special kind of psychology’ 26-10-2024 06:01 Macri knows he’s in a position of weakness. Milei and his libertarian horde swept his electorate and forced the fracture of his Juntos por el Cambio coalition. But despite lending his votes, the former president and his team have been excluded. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Selling your soul to the devil? 31-08-2024 05:40 Macri and Milei are still feeling each other out, much like heavyweight boxers who dance around each other throwing light jabs for fear of being hit with an uppercut. All of which begs the question, who will stab the other one in the back first? by Agustino Fontevecchia