Analysing Argentina Forget about October, what matters is the day after 30-08-2025 06:59 After the elections, Milei will not have the benefit of the doubt anymore. Expectations will be higher, just as reality might get tougher. by Marcelo J. García
As I see it Dark clouds line the horizon 30-08-2025 06:52 Millions who voted for Milei less than two years ago may have assumed that he would immediately replace the old political class but, needless to say, that was a pipe dream. by James Neilson
Politics & corruption Milei’s libertarian dream and the risks of Karina’s greed 30-08-2025 06:22 It seems as if the Milei administration has been participating in the “caste-like” behaviour it was mandated by its voters to eradicate. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Swimming against the current 30-08-2025 06:04 The undecided in Corrientes could just top up Juan Pablo Valdés over the 40 percent needed to ensure first-round victory, although the current Zeitgeist of voter apathy would make it likelier for them to sit this one out. by Michael Soltys
EXPLAINER United States targets Venezuela over 'Soles' cartel – but does it exist? 29-08-2025 07:36 While some of US President Donald Trump's right-wing led allies in South America have echoed his designation of the 'Cártel de los Soles' as a terrorist organisation, many have doubts such a group even exists.
CORRUPTION CRISIS Trading in ‘Lule’ Menem to save Karina Milei 28-08-2025 13:48 A risky idea is starting to spread in one government sector. Perhaps the only way to save the supreme sister is to sacrifice Lule. by Javier Calvo
RIGI INVESTMENT INCENTIVE SCHEME One year in, RIGI investor incentive scheme fails to take off 27-08-2025 09:18 One of President Javier Milei’s flagship policies, the RIGI incentive scheme for large investors, is not taking off – one year on from its launch, three projects have imported a mere US$26 million. Seven initiatives have been approved with 11 others pending and a Chinese rejection. by Gonzalo Martínez
BRAZILIAN POLITICS Bolsonaro’s family dynasty creaks under pressure of Brazil coup trial 25-08-2025 13:55 The once-united Bolsonaro clan is creaking under the pressure, leaving the coalition of centre-right parties in their orbit in disarray.
As I see it All good things come to an end 23-08-2025 07:48 Western politicians and those who feed them ideas are ill-equipped to deal with the many challenges they face. by James Neilson
Analysing Argentina How can the new centrists kill polarisation? 23-08-2025 07:01 The centre might be the only viable solution for a country like Argentina, but who would vote for a dull, rationality-driven politician when you have the angry mob? by Marcelo J. García
ELECTIONS 2025: ANALYSIS Analysts give their take on the electoral slates for October election 23-08-2025 06:46 La Libertad Avanza’s hegemonic project, a Peronist survival bid and an accepted secondary role for PRO. Milei versus Kirchnerism polarisation promises to be the dominant theme of the campaign heading into October. by Giselle Leclercq
Campaign comments Ins and outs of Congress 23-08-2025 06:42 Almost all those deputies taking their leave would doubtless be rubbished by President Milei as “caste” but most carry a political weight far from evident in their prospective replacements. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS & CORRUPTION Greedy and corrupt libertarians? 23-08-2025 06:15 Smear campaign tactics are a defining characteristic of the Argentine political ecosystem during the electoral season. Corruption has risen as a preoccupation for everyday citizens, but it is still the economy that will determine whether or not Milei is successful. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICS Milei adds a corruption scandal to his mounting list of woes 22-08-2025 22:59 Reeling from a week of political, economic and financial setbacks, President Javier Milei now faces a fresh corruption scandal reportedly linked to his sister.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei comes out swinging as setbacks pile up before key vote 21-08-2025 18:09 President Javier Milei suffers rapid-fire political, economic and financial setbacks as his most daunting electoral test yet draws near.
ESPIONAGE & INTELLIGENCE Sergio Neiffert: Secrets and business dealings of Milei's spy chief 20-08-2025 09:28 The house of spies has a leak – and it's not the first time. A look at the tenure of spy chief Sergio Neiffert and his business dealings as questions are asked about the activities of Argentina's intelligence services. by Rodis Recalt
BOLIVIAN ELECTION 2025 From TikTok to frontrunner: Rodrigo Paz's presidential campaign in Bolivia 20-08-2025 09:15 Rodrigo Paz is hardly an outsider. His experience in politics runs two decades deep, having served as mayor, councillor, deputy and senator. His popularity has only grown since adding Edman Lara – nicknamed "Captain Lara" – to the ticket as vice-president.
FREEDOM OF SPEECH Moche, Milei and the scales of Justice 19-08-2025 19:17 A federal judge has determined that President Javier Milei’s posts on social media are not official acts of communication. ?Trump’s precedent in the United States and the impact on the '$LIBRA' cryptocurrency case. by Walter Curia
INTELLIGENCE SERVICES Ex-spy Stiuso retains influence at SIDE intelligence services 19-08-2025 15:41 Antonio ‘Jaime’ Stiuso, former director-general of operations at Argentina’s intelligence service, has well-oiled contacts with the libertarians leading SIDE. by Rodis Recalt
ELECTIONS 2025 October legislative race takes shape, polarised contest looms 18-08-2025 12:21 La Libertad Avanza, Peronism, centre-ground Provincias Unidas and left-wing fronts close candidate lists ahead of a pivotal vote for Javier Milei’s government.
GUEST COLUMN Argentina: A country that I call home 16-08-2025 07:05 "Argentina is a land of breath-taking diversity, geographically, culturally and gastronomically. As I bid farewell, I leave with immense gratitude," writes Nur Azman Rahim, Malaysia’s outgoing ambassador to Argentina, Paraguay & Uruguay.
Campaign comments Jousting in the lists 16-08-2025 06:30 In broad terms, President Javier Milei’s La Libertad Avanza will be flying solo in half the country whereas Peronism is presenting a united front in three-quarters of the districts, including all the most important except Córdoba. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Between heaven and hell 16-08-2025 06:22 As Milei and his economic team struggle to contain financial stress, his popularity and therefore expected electoral victory is under threat. by Agustino Fontevecchia
As I see it Why Milei refuses to budge an inch 16-08-2025 06:11 Like “the Iron Lady,” late British prime minister Margaret Thatcher, whom he admires, Milei lets it be known that he is not for turning. by James Neilson
FRIENDSHIP, BUSINESS & POLITICS Donation to Milei's party triggers scrutiny of Santiago Caputo’s employer 15-08-2025 13:20 Lucas Costa is one of the partners at Zefico SA, the company where top presidential adviser Santiago Caputo is the sole employee. The firm was reported to the Unidad de Información Financiera (UIF) two weeks, after the businessman transferred some three million pesos to La Libertad Avanza’s campaign in Formosa. by Giselle Leclercq
BUSINESS & POLITICS UIF watchdog lodges complaint over leak about firm employing Santiago Caputo 14-08-2025 18:03 Paul Starc, head of UIF money-laundering watchdog, lodges criminal complaint over leak of information involving flagged transactions at the company Zefico SA, the employer of top presidential advisor Santiago Caputo.
POLITICS & RELIGION Milei finds heavenly ally in evangelism 12-08-2025 17:48 Politics, religion and business. A decree issued by President Javier Milei recognises evangelical churches as legal entities – a key change its leaders have been seeking for three decades. by Juan Luis González
GUEST COLUMN Loneliness and isolation: the hidden threat to global health 11-08-2025 14:49 Humans are hardwired for connection. Disconnection, whether through loneliness, or social isolation, can have devastating impacts.
Campaign comments Deadlines or lifelines? 09-08-2025 06:52 We have confirmation of one important definition – the La Libertad Avanza far right and the PRO centre-right extending their Buenos Aires Province alliance to this city. by Michael Soltys
Analysing Argentina The (wrong?) assumption that energy and mining will save Argentina 09-08-2025 06:35 President Javier Milei’s economic programme relies heavily on the prospects of Argentina massively increasing its exports in the coming years. But projections work better on paper than in reality. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Civil war in the ‘iron triangle’ and the Scatturice ordeal 09-08-2025 06:34 A little less than three months out from the election, it is getting tense for the Milei administration and the country in general. The President is placing his political project on the line, knowing that he needs to deliver electorally if he wants to keep his re-election dreams alive. by Agustino Fontevecchia
As I see it Fearful Westerners turn their backs on Israel 09-08-2025 05:29 Could what is happening in the Middle East be just a prelude to a similar drama in Europe and other parts of the West? by James Neilson
FEATURE Los Menem SA: How ex-president’s clan invoices the state 08-08-2025 13:54 Business dealings with the state are part of the family’s income, with the Menem clan remaining close to power. A look at controversial contracts and the "series effect." by Rodis Recalt
Analysis Milei blames banks and establishment for new run on currency 07-08-2025 17:58 Argentina's government attributes the third currency run of its administration to a supposed speculative manoeuvre by local banks, big business and the establishment. For Milei, it’s a political onslaught against his economic plan. by Carlos Burgueño
POLITICS & GOVERNMENT Cabinet wealth rankings: Werthein, Cúneo Libarona, Caputo on podium 07-08-2025 14:23 Government ministers Gerardo Werthein, Mariano Cúneo Libarona and Luis Caputo head the wealth and asset rankings of President Javier Milei’s Cabinet. by Giselle Leclercq
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Cúneo Libarona, Tim Ballard and the freak show 04-08-2025 18:54 One of the connective threads behind the multiple scandals faced by Milei and his top officials is CPAC, the conservative think tank that counts with the Argentine President and Donald Trump as some of its highest- profile members. by Agustino Fontevecchia
AS I SEE IT Elites under pressure in a changing world 04-08-2025 18:26 In North America and much of Europe, governments have long come under fire because an increasing number of people feel they are falling behind and it seems more than probable that many more will do so in the next few years. by James Neilson
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS The future Senate – Victoria’s secret? 04-08-2025 18:15 In more than one province there is potential for polarisation and the traditional two-party system to be replaced by two competitive non-Peronist options leaving Kirchnerism out in the cold along the lines of the 2013 City race. by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Milei at a crossroads: between isolation and the art of the deal 04-08-2025 17:59 The first decision is whether to seek alliances with provincial governors, who in broad terms agree with his economic programme, or fly solo. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS Secrets of Leonardo Scatturice, Milei’s lobbyist in Washington 29-07-2025 07:20 The murky past of the millionaire former spy behind the unchecked luggage flight. A key link between Javier Milei and Donald Trump, with ties to airline Flybondi and top presidential advisor Santiago Caputo. by Rodis Recalt
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Darkness at midnight 28-07-2025 15:46 If inner strife tore the centre-right apart in 2023 while eroding the rusty Kirchnerite machine now, is infighting infecting today’s invincibles? by Michael Soltys
OPINION & ANALYSIS Santiago Caputo dies hard 28-07-2025 15:40 The closure of the national government’s Buenos Aires Province lists probably weighed in the vindictive mood of the star spin doctor whose minions were wallflowers when it came time for Karina’s provincial delegate Sebastián Pareja to define the candidates. by Javier Calvo
AS I SEE IT Weirdoes do battle for the world 28-07-2025 15:33 Few imagined that the old order would soon fall apart and that through the cracks would emerge political leaders determined to bring about drastic changes in the societies they lived in. by James Neilson
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Milei, Lamelas and the politics of evil 28-07-2025 15:24 Governors who used to oversee economic no-go areas, whose only hope used to be getting assistance or even charity, are now empowered by growing national and international business interest in their regions. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS - ANALYSIS Dirty politics in Buenos Aires Province and the risk of violence 28-07-2025 15:12 Libertarian coalition sparked the implosion and successive fragmentation of Argentina’s dysfunctional political system. by Agustino Fontevecchia
FEATURE Challenging overfishing: The craft fishers of Peninsula Valdés 26-07-2025 06:02 At Península Valdés in Argentina’s south, a group of artisanal fishers practise a daily craft which runs counter to the voracity of extractive industry. From a fishing province, they are rescuing a trade requiring patience and risk in a protected area many today view as under threat. A look at it’s like to work in a North Patagonian gulf, in crystal-clear waters, where whales follow motorboats as dogs run after the wheels of a lorry.
As I see it Politics becomes a strictly personal matter 21-07-2025 05:49 Once upon a time, politicians were expected to stand for rather more than their own egos, but in most parts of the world, the more successful political parties now tend to be one-man bands. by James Neilson
FEATURE Trial in absentia – the hope of justice for AMIA bombing 20-07-2025 19:18 The case of the Jewish community centre would be the first application of this kind of trial in Argentina. How this tool against impunity works, its authors, international precedents and other possible cases, such as the crimes of the military dictatorship, to which it could be applied. by Sabrina Chemen
ANALYSING ARGENTINA A big win in midterms would be bad news for Milei 20-07-2025 19:05 A huge victory might encourage Milei and his team to stick to the peso appreciation which is both keeping inflation down and pleasing the upper and high-middle classes of Argentina. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Caputo’s ‘buy ‘em up champ’ and Milei’s ‘Epstein moment’ 20-07-2025 17:32 Leonardo Scaturicce is said to have been instrumental in staffing the DGI tax office which remains under operational control of Santiago Caputo, as does the SIDE spy agency. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Anatomy of a macrocephalic 19-07-2025 18:53 While the last census of 2022 showed that Argentina’s population had risen some 15% since the Bicentenary count of 2010, the population of Greater Buenos Aires only rose 9%. by Michael Soltys
MILEI'S ARGENTINA The price of verbal violence 18-07-2025 05:17 Old behavioural norms are no longer respected. There are no limits to violent languages nor to intrusion into the private lives of people. Privacy is dead. by Jaime Duran Barba
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS The risks of the Milei government’s economic plan 17-07-2025 10:03 Macroeconomic order and disinflation alone do not guarantee long-term sustainability. by Luis Secco
SOCIETY Living alone: one in four Argentine homes has a single occupant 16-07-2025 22:23 Argentina tops the region for solo households and low fertility, signalling deep demographic change. Experts warn of an ageing population and urge urgent reforms to pensions and healthcare. by Enrique Garabetyan
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei tightens grip on currency market left awash in pesos 16-07-2025 10:10 President’s economic team sends a signal to the market that it still has an iron grip on Argentina’s money supply, a key ingredient to thwarting inflation, stabilising the peso – and his high approval ratings.
LAY-OFFS: WHERE AUSTERITY HITS Correo Argentino, ARCA, Trenes Argentinos top redundancy rankings 15-07-2025 11:06 President Javier Milei put deregulation tsar Federico Sturzenegger in charge of cuts across state agencies. The official left almost no area untouched – among state-owned companies, Correo Argentino saw the highest number of lay-offs, with 4,945 jobs cut.
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Inflation ticked up slightly last month, less than expected 14-07-2025 18:54 Inflation ticked up slightly but less than expected in June, another win for President Javier Milei ahead of midterm elections.
POLITICS Move Group: the consultancy firm advising government and opposition 12-07-2025 07:15 From Mayra Mendoza to Rolando Figueroa and Alberto Weretilneck. During the Javier Milei Presidency, a wide range of leaders have contracted the services of the consultancy firm where Santiago Caputo previously worked. by Giselle Leclercq
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Governors show lone-wolf Milei their teeth – will they bite? 12-07-2025 06:59 Wrestling with Argentina’s powerful provincial leaders is more likely to hinder Milei than help him achieve his goals. by Marcelo J. García
As I see it Do smartphones make people stupid? 12-07-2025 06:51 For a long time it was taken for granted that headlong technological progress would greatly benefit youngsters by providing them with a cornucopia of educational resources that had been denied to previous generations. by James Neilson
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Corruption claims and political miscalculations 12-07-2025 06:16 The Milei government must defend its hard-fought macroeconomic stability at all costs, at least until the election. That’s why Caputo and Milei went on the offensive, making the rounds with their typical, friendly interviewers to accuse provincial governors and the opposition at large of seeking to destabilise the government. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Independence for whom? 12-07-2025 06:13 The Independence Day alliance on the right leaves the Peronists playing catch up after their stab at unification at the Partido Justicialista Congress. by Michael Soltys
Football in Argentina Clausura kick-off: Potential for surprises and upsets sky high 11-07-2025 10:00 As the second half of the top flight gets underway with a second title on the line, there are two teams – at least – under immense pressure to topple reigning champions Platense. by Dan Edwards
OPINION & ANALYSIS The political temptations of leatherwork 10-07-2025 23:52 Suitcases. Bags. Satchels. Like a loop, a new scandal exposes the irresistible seduction which leather goods seem to have on Argentine politics. by Javier Calvo
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Rush of farm dollars fails to lift peso ahead of vote 10-07-2025 09:37 Three months after President Javier Milei lifted Argentina’s currency controls, early investor optimism has given way to growing caution
INEQUALITY ANALYSIS Trips to Miami or living month-to-month – Argentina’s ‘rift’ hits consumers 09-07-2025 16:34 The disparity in purchasing power in Argentina has accentuated in the past year, according to a private study. One sector travels to Miami and the other can’t make it to the end of the month. What happened?
FEATURE Santiago Caputo, Milei’s secret weapon, disrupts domestic politics 08-07-2025 10:57 Top adviser is upending Argentine politics amid rumoured tension with the President’s sister, Karina Milei, ahead of crucial midterm vote.
As I see it Milei hurt by yet another time bomb 05-07-2025 07:34 A New York judge has ordered the government to hand just over half the shares in YPF to a vulture fund that had purchased the rights of companies harmed by the cack-handed takeover of the oil firm in 2015. by James Neilson
Campaign comments The autumn of the patriarch 05-07-2025 07:19 Gildo Insfrán’s power stems from the provincial government being by far Formosa’s biggest employer with less than six percent of the workforce having formal jobs in the private sector, boosted by shameless patronage. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Anti-Milei sentiment growing among Argentina’s elites 05-07-2025 06:38 There’s a growing feeling among certain groups of elites that the Milei administration will fail at some point in the near future. by Agustino Fontevecchia