ANALYSING ARGENTINA What if Milei is wrong about the economy? 13-07-2024 07:50 Hard currency is the Achilles’ heel of the Milei programme, as it was for his predecessors in office. by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei the preacher 13-07-2024 07:24 For now, President Milei retains his popularity, but it seems as if the model is beginning to run out of steam. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei under pressure for the first time 06-07-2024 05:59 If the doubts regarding Milei’s capacity to preside over Argentina were tied to governability risk, Caputo’s are connected to credibility risk: it’s difficult to see how the current policy framework can be sustainable in time. by Agustino Fontevecchia
BEYOND THE HEADLINES Staging a coup 06-07-2024 05:54 The historical yardstick of coups d’état has been whether they are successful or not with their authenticity seldom coming into question. Except in Latin America, where magic realism has added that word “autogolpe” to its vocabulary. by Michael Soltys
OPINION & ANALYSIS From attempted murder to an attempted coup 29-06-2024 04:52 Fernando Sabag Montiel is a consequence of an exhausted political and economic system in Argentina, while Milei has emerged as a response to that same failure. by Agustino Fontevecchia
Beyond the headlines Work in regress? 29-06-2024 04:27 How can having a job continue to be synonymous with making a living if there are around seven times as many people below the poverty line as jobless? by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Milei, Messi, and how to be the best in the world 29-06-2024 04:16 Milei continues to claim that his ministers are “the best ever.” Until they are not, as his former friend and Cabinet Chief Nicolás Posse can attest. by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS Key law, pact with governors, Cabinet tweaks – the keys to Milei’s relaunch 26-06-2024 17:09 President returns from abroad and focuses on domestic issues; He expects final approval of the mega reform to give impetus to his pact with governors and pave the way for Cabinet changes.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Turning-point or anarcho-capitalist illusion? 22-06-2024 05:52 The outsider – who by definition was politically weak – is proving to be more resilient than his more traditional peers. Milei’s emergence in Argentina’s political ecosystem already marks a turning-point. by Agustino Fontevecchia
OPINION & ANALYSIS Poverty has no limit in Argentina 22-06-2024 05:28 Argentina’s food crisis and the profound reasons for structural decay. How we reached the current state of emergency, from the Kirchners to Milei. by Alejandra Daiha
Beyond the headlines All in the family 22-06-2024 05:05 Nepotism is an even more chronic vice of Argentine politics than corruption. And if nepotism requires nephews, these are forthcoming in the Javier Milei administration. by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Milei’s future: back to the past? 22-06-2024 05:01 While it is crucial for the government to attract investments from various sources, the nature of the country’s insertion in the global economy will depend on Milei’s alliances. by Marcelo J. Garcia
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Milei at a turning point 15-06-2024 06:34 At this point, six months into office, Milei knows he needs to get something out of Congress, no matter exactly what that “something” is. Progress, not perfection. by Marcelo J. Garcia
Beyond the headlines Right is always right, right? 15-06-2024 06:24 Fragmentation is the name of the game both here and there – Europe’s far right is merely the loudest and most visible. by Michael Soltys
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Monthly inflation slows to lowest level since 2022 13-06-2024 16:41 Consumer prices rose 4.2 percent last month, less than economists estimates for five percent and the lowest level since January 2022.
CONGRESS & POLITICS Milei’s signature reforms at risk in tense Senate vote 12-06-2024 14:38 President Javier Milei is pushing to get his signature omnibus reform package across the finish line in the Senate.
Analysing Argentina Re-election for Milei will require recalibration 08-06-2024 05:56 Investors, domestic and abroad, continue to have hopes that Milei will deliver … They are suddenly seeing red flags everywhere. by Marcelo J. Garcia
Beyond the headlines Friends will not always be friends 08-06-2024 05:49 Professionalism is plunging to new lows under a president who at times seems to take the first half of his self-definition of “anarcho-capitalist” just as seriously as the second. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS The political commissar, the sister and President Milei’s only friend 08-06-2024 05:32 With the expulsion of Nicolás Posse, Santiago Caputo becomes the only non-family member with a say in President Javier Milei’s inner circle. by Agustino Fontevecchia
LATIN AMERICA Sheinbaum's Mexico election win bolsters Latin American left 06-06-2024 11:31 Claudia Sheinbaum's victory means that both Brazil and Mexico – Latin America's two biggest nations in terms of population and economic output – remain firmly on the left side of the political spectrum.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei’s punctuated pragmatism and Karina, the hidden genius 01-06-2024 05:59 Karina Milei has emerged as a sort of Machivellian genius, pulling the strings of the government and the political ecosystem with the apparent dexterity of a pro. by Agustino Fontevecchia
Beyond the headlines When the essential is invisible 01-06-2024 05:05 In Argentina, the urgent is forever crowding out the important. by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA What if Milei has no clothes on? 01-06-2024 05:03 Milei’s economic programme does not have the luxury of letting the flame of hope die out. by Marcelo J. Garcia
MILEI & THE NEW RIGHT ‘Rockstar’ Milei just loves to travel 25-05-2024 06:52 For the frenetic Milei, there is no time to waste … as long as his public image remains shielded from the vicissitudes of day-to-day life, then the show must go on. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Gulliver Milei needs to engage with the Lilliputians 25-05-2024 06:23 Even the Lilliputians in Jonathan Swift’s 'Gulliver’s Travels' were clever enough to feed their giant alien visitor before using him for their own advantage. by Marcelo J. Garcia
As I see it Anti-Semitism comes back with a vengeance 25-05-2024 06:04 Though there has never been any shortage of reasons to persecute Jews, the chief one which underlies most others is envy. by James Neilson
ECONOMIC INDICATORS Economy extends downturn amid Milei’s cuts 23-05-2024 00:07 Economy shrank 8.4% in March from a year ago. On a monthly basis, activity dropped 1.4%, according to government data published Wednesday.
FOREIGN POLICY Milei's diplomacy pulls no punches with left-wing leaders 21-05-2024 11:05 Critics say Milei is focused on prioritising diplomatic connections with fellow right-wingers – while lashing out with an undiplomatic tenor at the rest of the world's leaders, to the detriment of Argentine foreign policy.
As I see it Hail to the new populist caudillo 18-05-2024 06:49 Will Milei’s daring experiment work and give Argentina an economy that is at least as efficient as those of what is known as the developed world? Or will the cure he is intent on subjecting it to prove to be so painful that it kills the patient? by James Neilson
ANALYSING ARGENTINA RIGI and the ‘frack, baby, frack’ consensus 18-05-2024 06:15 Argentina is not alone in the region in debating what to do with its resources or how the market and the government should engage with one another. by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS 'Karinismo': President sister keeps gaining power 14-05-2024 11:54 Javier Milei’s Cabinet looks increasingly disjointed but his sister, presidential chief-of-staff Karina Milei, is accumulating more power and decision-making.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Javier Milei: in love with the ‘cowboy caste’ 11-05-2024 06:37 There is clearly some sort of infatuation with the President and his Austrian economic ideology, along with Argentina. And the global culture war and Milei’s positioning to the right of the spectrum make him even more attractive. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Elon Musk meets José Mayans 11-05-2024 06:27 RIGI is the most beneficial regime ever created in the country for foreign investors and it is causing a divide among foreign and local businesses. by Marcelo J. Garcia
As I see it The Milei show rolls on 10-05-2024 06:29 To those who in the past placed their bets on Argentina and lost a great deal of money as a result, Milei’s spiel must have sounded like something a confidence trickster might say. by James Neilson
Analysing Argentina The dawn of a new Milei? 04-05-2024 05:40 Javier Milei has come to terms with the idea that he cannot continue to go it alone with his reform programme by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei’s calculated risks 04-05-2024 05:27 It’s not the first time Milei has decided to play ball and look for support beyond the tight borders of his La Libertad Avanza coalition. It shouldn’t be read purely as a strategic change – rather a tactical manoeuvre. by Agustino Fontevecchia
GUEST COLUMN Advancing US-Argentine energy and minerals cooperation 30-04-2024 16:13 Argentina's energy security and decarbonisation pathway will only be enhanced by deeper collaboration with the United States, write Jeremy M. Martin & Raúl Bertero.
Analysing Argentina Five dogs and a million reds 27-04-2024 05:43 The government puts itself at risk by acting as if everything the President says is true, while Milei runs the risk of believing everything he sees on his social media feed. by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS The first ‘real world’ punch for Javier Milei 27-04-2024 05:00 The government’s response to the march in defence of the public university system was similar to their usual approach, but the impact wasn’t the same – the social agenda appears to have finally sided against Milei on a major issue. by Agustino Fontevecchia
SURVEY SAYS Poll: Milei retaining support despite complaints over dengue, education 22-04-2024 13:23 New survey by Opina Argentina shows President Milei retains 49% approval rating, despite anger at weakening of pensions, attack on universities and response to dengue fever outbreak.
Analysing Argentina Is Milei feeling the fear? 20-04-2024 06:45 Milei’s government needs to pass legislation, something it has not been able to do in its first four-and-a-half months in office. Congressional approval would be an indication to Argentines and foreign observers alike that he means business. by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Kirchnerite tensions: New wave pushes for displacement of La Cámpora 16-04-2024 15:46 Disappointed with the inaction of those aligned with Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, a new line of Kirchnerite figures are knocking on Axel Kicillof's door and asking him to take control of the Peronist movement.
MILEI Milei sees four dogs and says there are five – it should concern us 15-04-2024 16:25 On a denial of reality, cloned dogs, mediums and Javier Milei's messianic project. by Juan Luis González
Analysing Argentina Why Javier Milei needs to be a bit like Néstor Kirchner 13-04-2024 05:40 Even though he may hate the sound of it, the lessons of the Kirchner dynasty – whose political fadeout is largely responsible for Milei’s meteoric rise to power – could help the President. by Marcelo J. Garcia
BLOOMBERG – ANALYSIS HSBC joins firms exiting Argentina amid Milei's economic makeover 10-04-2024 15:24 Foreign companies reluctance contrasts with local optimism; Exxon and Clorox decided to divest investments in Argentina.
Analysing Argentina Is President Milei growing in stature? 06-04-2024 06:39 Argentina’s president is exercising power fully, even as he continues to learn how the dynamics of it works. by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Attitudinal shifts and the risks of upheaval 06-04-2024 06:24 Milei’s “negative rhetoric,” sustained by his synthetic power, is useful in setting the agenda, but it doesn’t put food on the table. by Agustino Fontevecchia
BLOOMBERG – ANALYSIS Milei races against time to ease pain unleashed by shock therapy 03-04-2024 12:03 Argentina’s president, who won last November’s run-off with 56% of the vote, is in a race against time to bring inflation back down and hold on to that popularity.
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Who wants to ‘exploit’ Argentina? 30-03-2024 06:43 The business establishment, here and abroad, are keeping a close eye on whether Milei and his team can deliver on governance – and whether they can do it soon. by Marcelo J. Garcia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS The calm before the storm? 30-03-2024 06:07 The depth and severity of the recession that the plan put together by Economy Minister Luis ‘Toto’ Caputo will bring is beginning to reveal its impact. by Agustino Fontevecchia