Analysing Argentina Milei’s Argentina: A tale of two pockets Today 07:33 There is a “dollarised” Argentina doing well and a “pesofied” Argentina that is struggling. by Marcelo J. García
Campaign comments Midterms in midyear Today 07:24 Given the total inability of the protagonists in Buenos Aires Province to get their act together, the midterms still four months away are looking more like candidates for “It’s the economy, stupid” than ever. by Michael Soltys
opinion and analysis Carnal relations Today 06:01 Halfway between the ‘Conurbano’ and World War III. by Agustino Fontevecchia
JOBS & EMPLOYMENT Economic pick-up fails to filter through to job market 23-06-2025 15:43 Improved economic activity has reversed last year's shrinkage but the improvement has yet to seep through to the labour market – in March the private sector shed over 7,000 jobs with numbers of self-employed simultaneously on the rise. by Martín Fernández Nadale
Editorial Liberty not advancing for everybody 21-06-2025 06:37 Confirmation of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s prison sentence has gifted an increasingly divided Peronism a cause around which to rally in unity, but in the long term this cause may only serve to deepen the divisions.
Campaign comments Begin the begin 21-06-2025 06:28 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner is paradoxically sidelined and occupying centre stage at the same time. With her exclusion from any electoral candidacy, the campaign effectively starts again. by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Will Milei be haunted by the ghost of Cristina? 21-06-2025 06:07 The arrest and jailing of a political opponent may be good news for incumbents in the short term, but nothing good results in the medium to long term. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Dissidence will be treated as treason 21-06-2025 05:59 A leader as experienced as Cristina Fernández de Kirchner knows there is no time to waste, as the window of opportunity could quickly close. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ANALYSIS Inflation and the ballot box: Milei bets on falling prices to win votes 18-06-2025 12:46 Monthly CPI and wholesale rates are now central to the government’s election strategy – but questions are mounting over purchasing power and price-controlled services. by Gonzalo Martínez
ANALYSING ARGENTINA What is a Supreme Court for? 14-06-2025 06:45 Cristina was a fading political star long before Argentina’s Supreme Court confirmed her conviction sentence. by Marcelo J. García
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS The lady vanishes 14-06-2025 06:37 The most immediate question here is who replaces Cristina Fernández de Kirchner at the helm. Problems of Peronist succession have always been so daunting historically that most of the movement would rather not face them. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS New Peronist generation must now grow without Cristina 12-06-2025 13:52 Leandro Santoro, Juan Grabois, Juan Monteverde and Axel Kicillof are the most visual leaders of a post-Kirchnerite generation which is trying to renew the party without supremos or fanaticism.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Dollar-obsessed Argentines have a newfound love for buying gold 11-06-2025 18:24 Argentina’s deep-rooted reliance on the greenback is now being challenged by a growing appetite for gold.
OPINION & ANALYSIS Milei: Cruelty as the method 09-06-2025 15:24 The cruelty that spills daily from President Milei’s mouth and from his no less uncouth officials is not rhetorical excess or a communications blunder. It is method. It is doctrine. by Daniel Capalbo
Editorial The gloomy science as gloom for science 07-06-2025 09:38 If starvation wages are expected to bridge the vacuum between the research structures of the 20th and 21st centuries, there will not be any scientists left for a brave new world.
Analysing Argentina Milei’s (unnecessary) enemies are piling up 07-06-2025 06:46 Argentina's President is not only failing to make friends, he is accumulating too many enemies. by Marcelo J. García
As I see it Humanity in the grip of a death wish 07-06-2025 06:39 According to Austral University’s human resources department, the birth rate in Argentina has fallen to 1.4 per woman. by James Neilson
Campaign comments On a mission in omission 07-06-2025 06:34 Voting for provincial deputies in Misiones is more likely to be a landslide for the local ruling party than any electoral earthquake. by Michael Soltys
Politics – Analysis Damocles’ sword and a Mexican stand-off in the Province 07-06-2025 06:26 Argentina’s Supreme Court has driven itself into a corner. It’s sitting on one of the most consequential rulings in the nation’s political history. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei’s cuts are making credit harder to collect in Argentina 04-06-2025 10:30 Just over a year and a half since Javier Milei took office, businesses and households are under strain from stagnant wages and lingering inflation.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS CFK's return risks dividing opposition in boon for Milei 03-06-2025 14:22 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner's decision to run in September’s legislative elections in Buenos Aires Province will set the stage for the national midterm vote the following month.
ECONOMIC POLICY Milei’s FX gambit sparks sharpest demand for dollars since 2019 02-06-2025 17:31 Demand for dollars in Argentina at its highest since 2019 after President Javier Milei all but eliminated foreign-exchange restrictions.
Politics – Analysis From ‘Caputito’ to ‘Fat Dan’ – weird scenes of digital disinformation 31-05-2025 06:39 Milei and his digital pit-bulls appeal to freedom of expression while relying on manipulative and even false information to get their message across, while fostering censorship and hate of the traditional media. Freedom of speech for those who express the same kind of things as me, censorship for the rest. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ESPIONAGE & FREEDOM OF THE PRESS SIDE: from the sewers to the forces of heaven 31-05-2025 06:38 Until now, the path taken by Javier Milei’s “forces of heaven” is no different from their predecessors. by Javier Calvo
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Where angels fear to tread 31-05-2025 06:33 The demolition job suffered by PRO in the City has most provinces now thinking twice about advancing their elections and exposing local hegemonies to the forces of heaven. by Michael Soltys
As I see it Censorship is making a comeback just about everywhere 31-05-2025 06:28 Milei has a habit of shouting “Freedom, damn it!” whenever the opportunity arises, but he is clearly an authoritarian at heart who does not take kindly to criticism. by James Neilson
Analysing Argentina Milei chooses to ignore emerging consensuses 31-05-2025 06:23 With less than five months to the midterm vote, nothing seems to be standing in the way of a good result for the government. But Milei 2025 should already start thinking about Milei 2027 by Marcelo J. García
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Milei intervenes in currency market despite letting peso float 28-05-2025 11:36 Argentina’s government has intervened in the currency markets to influence the peso’s value and is likely to miss reserve accumulation targets.
DISCREDIT & DISTRACTION Darín and Milei’s online army: empanadas or rotten fish 27-05-2025 14:43 Argentina’s government, along with its army of online trolls and sympathetic journalists, used the price of empanadas to mock Ricardo Darín and distract from the economic crisis. Viral mockery and aligned media coverage helped them avoid talking about frozen wages, austerity, and the loss of purchasing power. by Nicolás Gonzalez
PRICE COMPLAINTS Milei officials beef with Darín over price of a dozen empanadas 26-05-2025 20:43 Actor Ricardo Darín draws Milei administration’s ire by complaining about the price of a dozen empanadas.
MILEI’S AUSTERITY MEASURES Six provinces demand over US$9 billion from national government 26-05-2025 14:58 Provinces of Buenos Aires, La Pampa, La Rioja, Formosa, Santiago del Estero and Santa Fe – mostly all opposition controlled – are demanding US$9.376 billion in outstanding debt from President Javier Milei’s government. by Gonzalo Martínez
As I see it Milei wants to paint Argentina violet 24-05-2025 06:49 Milei and his sister are well aware that political loyalties usually owe more to a person’s sense of belonging to a vaguely defined community than to reasoned arguments. Handouts can help, but peer pressure counts for more than anything else. by James Neilson
Campaign comments Milei’s purple patch 24-05-2025 06:38 The headlines all reflect a Milei triumph and a PRO catastrophe (the government objectives in almost equal measure), both accurate enough but also relative. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Battle royale 24-05-2025 06:27 Politically, Milei is the son of fragmentation. Now, he’s consolidating his forces thanks to the weakness of dispersed opponents. by Agustino Fontevecchia
Analysing Argentina A whirlwind of votes, a black hole of dollars 24-05-2025 06:06 Argentines know their history, and they have enjoyed spending sprees in the past at the cost of the Central Bank, which invariably ended in economic catastrophe: in the late 1970s, in the 1990s, in the mid- and late 2000s. Milei will have to work hard to convince them that things will not be as they were. by Marcelo J. García
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY 30% in the City – just how well did La Libertad Avanza do? 20-05-2025 16:34 All the polls point to an Argentina split down the middle. Within those two universes increasingly extreme stances coexist on both sides.
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY City election reveals Argentina’s new democracy 19-05-2025 15:49 The internal rivalry within the right has finally been settled with Milei’s victory on Macri’s home turf. by Eduardo Fidanza
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES CITY PRO versus La Libertad Avanza: Chronicle of a death foretold? 18-05-2025 23:26 With the necessary caveats, the time that passed between the 2023 election and this weekend’s elections in Buenos Aires City could be seen as a remake of ‘The Sixth Sense’: PRO had been “dead” all along – but didn’t know it. by Juan Luis González
Analysing Argentina Re-election in 2027? It’s Milei’s to lose 17-05-2025 06:53 Milei has at hand all the variables that will determine his future. Winning or losing will depend on how he handles them. The more pragmatic and less ideological, the better. by Marcelo J. García
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS They also serve who only stand and wait 17-05-2025 06:31 Electoral tides notoriously shift in the final week and even the last minute. by Michael Soltys
As I see it Being pope in an irreligious age 17-05-2025 06:28 Leo XIV faces a most difficult dilemma. by James Neilson
POLITICS – ANALYSIS More to lose than to win 16-05-2025 10:15 In the City, the battle for first place is less interesting than the struggle between the Mileis and the Macris. by Agustino Fontevecchia
BLOOMBERG - ANALYSIS Inflation slowed in April amid currency policy change 14-05-2025 16:52 Annual inflation slowed for a 12th month to 47.3%, reports INDEC; Price increases were led by food and non-alcoholic beverages.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY How Milei keeps peso strong ahead of midterm vote 14-05-2025 12:00 President Milei's government doubles down on a strong peso strategy, making it the cornerstone of his midterm election campaign.
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Fernández de Kirchner’s present points to Milei’s future 10-05-2025 07:55 Like Milei today, Fernández de Kirchner and Macri once believed their power was unlimited and their future bright. The way they engaged with their adversaries only came back later to haunt them. by Marcelo J. García
OPINION & ANALYSIS New songs and Peronism 10-05-2025 07:50 Kirchnerism has no lyrics for its new songs – every intervention by CFK against Milei is always geared to the economic terrain, but from the perspective of his collapse and not improving on his achievements. by Jorge Fontevecchia
As I see it Milei looks like a one-trick pony 10-05-2025 07:45 Chainsaws are great but they can maim or even kill users who are too weak or too clumsy to handle them properly. by James Neilson
EDITORIAL Clean slates – for greenbacks only 10-05-2025 07:25 At least two of this week’s main news items may be considered further setbacks in the fight against corruption. Every suspicion of a meticulously manipulated Senate result instead of free votes of conscience, while those complying with the conditions of last year’s tax whitewash might ask themselves why they went to all that trouble – a black week for removing the stain of corruption with no guarantee against more to come.
POLITICS & COMMUNICATION Milei: Hate, peace, Popes and social media 10-05-2025 07:21 The Milei administration built its strength on synthetic power and effectively navigated the first part of the presidency. With the campaign fully underway, La Libertad Avanza will once again rely on their not-so-secret weapon. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Four-by-four voting 10-05-2025 07:20 Next weekend’s City race hogs the electoral limelight but there is voting even closer in time – like tomorrow when four provinces will be advancing their midterms. by Michael Soltys