ECONOMIC OUTLOOK IMF holds firm on Argentina growth forecast despite global uncertainty Today 12:35 Washington-based lender cites early 2025 economic rebound and rising confidence amid broader warnings over global slowdown.
POLITICS & ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Milei dreams of re-election – with IMF's help 19-04-2025 06:00 Whether signing an IMF deal represents a “day of liberation” or one of mourning, it lifts a cloud of uncertainty and allows the political ecosystem to focus on upcoming elections. by Agustino Fontevecchia
Analysing Argentina Milei and the bicycle temptation 19-04-2025 06:00 The Milei government is confident it can make it to the midterm elections in October without major volatility. But this relative calm — won by force of debt — should not obscure the storm that was brewing before the cash injection. by Marcelo J. García
Editorial Floating on air? 19-04-2025 06:00 Milei might echo Alfonsín by proclaiming: “Happy Easter, the dollar is in order” but early days – a more total exit from currency and capital controls by Macri in in late 2015 was even smoother, without ensuring him a happy ending.
IMF BOOSTS RESERVES Central Bank reserves hit US$36 billion after first IMF tranche 15-04-2025 17:26 First disbursement of US$12 billion arrives from International Monetary Fund, boosting reserves; Official exchange rate rises to 1,223 pesos per dollar; Country risk falls to 725 points.
US TREASURY SECRETARY Bessent expects Argentina to be able to pay off China swap 14-04-2025 19:13 Scott Bessent hails Argentina as a free-market beacon in Latin America; US Treasury secretary said he expects Argentina to be able to pay off its swap line with China, but that US government isn’t considering providing any direct credit.
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS IMF bets billions on Milei’s chainsaw to avert past debacles 13-04-2025 08:50 Frontloading disbursements is a controversial move that increases the IMF’s exposure to its biggest debtor, just as Milei faces the same policy dilemmas that have doomed his predecessors.
ARGENTINA & THE IMF Another IMF loan: for Argentina, it’s Groundhog Day 12-04-2025 15:24 Generations of Argentines feel their country is trapped in a recurring cycle: yet another loan from the International Monetary Fund to rescue a volatile economy.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei gains 'breathing room' from his ties with Trump 12-04-2025 11:54 The support President Milei has garnered from the Trump administration stands in stark contrast to the mounting challenges on the home front. by Pablo Varela
IMF DEBT PROGRAMME Argentina and the International Monetary Fund: A long, tricky history 12-04-2025 09:29 Argentina, which has a track record of economic crises and hyperinflation, is already the IMF's biggest debtor, ahead even of war-torn Ukraine.
Analysing Argentina Careful Javier, the ‘caste’ smells blood 12-04-2025 05:29 Legislators who had until now been cooperative or aloof toward confrontation with Milei are changing their tune, in line with what they hear from their constituencies. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei launches new economic phase, with nod to middle class 11-04-2025 23:56 Casa Rosada expresses satisfaction as alignment with Trump bears fruit and secures an unprecedented initial disbursement from the International Monetary Fund.
ECONOMIC CHANGES Milei ends 'cepo' as IMF board approves US$20-billion bailout 11-04-2025 23:32 Milei declares "cepo is gone for good" as IMF unlocks US$12 billion in immediate funding and Argentina lifts capital controls in 48-month US$20-billion programme.
FIN DE CEPO? Caputo announces new IMF deal, end to exchange controls 11-04-2025 18:45 President Javier Milei's government announces elimination of foreign exchange controls ahead of confirmation of new US$20-billion IMF programme.
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Argentina inflation picks up more than expected before IMF deal 11-04-2025 17:28 President Javier Milei said recently he only expects inflation to fall below two percent in May or June, blaming the sticky inflation on political volatility.
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS IMF deal fine print could disrupt China swap renewal 10-04-2025 05:36 In June, the grace period China granted Javier Milei expires. Washington is already pressuring Buenos Aires over the currency swap, with US$6.5 billion remaining frozen. by Eugenia Muzio
NEW IMF PROGRAMME Milei nears US$20-billion Argentina loan as IMF staff sign off 09-04-2025 08:49 Members of the Washington-based lender’s executive board are expected to vote on the agreement Friday.
NEW IMF PROGRAMME IMF confirms preliminary agreement with Argentina for US$20-billion loan 09-04-2025 08:33 Multilateral lender says it has reached a staff-level agreement with President Milei's government on a new 48-month US$20-billion programme, subject to approval by executive board.
GEOPOLITICAL ROW Milei caught in Trump-China spat over US$18-billion FX swap line 08-04-2025 16:47 Javier Milei is caught between US President Donald Trump and China’s communist government.
BLOOMBERG - FEATURE Milei tries erasing Argentina’s history to lure foreign investment 08-04-2025 09:04 Argentina’s president is desperate to woo foreign investors. But he's had more success tearing down physical symbols of the old guard than untangling the web of red tape it left behind.
Editorial A double date 05-04-2025 06:36 Milei has yet to realise (or admit, if he does realise) that Trump is taking the United States into precisely the same direction from which he himself is struggling to pull out Argentina.
IMF PROGRAMME IMF met again on Argentina as upfront payment proves contentious 04-04-2025 19:30 There is still no consensus among board members on the size of the upfront payment to Argentina, according to reports.
MILEI TO AMERICA Milei heads to Trump’s home base with IMF feal near finish line 02-04-2025 08:52 President Javier Milei will reportedly travel to Florida on Wednesday for talks with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago.
IMF PROGRAMME Caputo: Argentina wants a ‘high’ first disbursement from IMF 31-03-2025 14:04 Economy Minister revealed last week that Argentina is seeking around US$20 billion in fresh financing from the IMF, on top of its existing US$44-billion debt.
Editorial Into More Frenzy 29-03-2025 06:11 Perhaps today’s economic situation is best explained by saying: “It’s the elections, stupid.”
Analysing Argentina Will Elon Musk’s plumber pay for Milei’s trips abroad? 29-03-2025 06:11 There is reason behind the IMF’s decision to throw its weight behind President Milei, which means partnering with his political objectives too. by Marcelo J. García
IMF PROGRAMME IMF confirms Argentina has requested new US$20-billion loan programme 28-03-2025 18:10 "Progress on the new programme is very advanced and engagement continues at all levels to finalise an agreement," says IMF in a statement.
IMF PROGRAMME Argentina seeks large portion of US$20-billion IMF deal up front 28-03-2025 12:00 The size of Argentina’s first disbursement has become the most important issue of negotiations at this stage, with President Milei's government seeking a large portion up front.
IMF DEBT PROGRAMME Argentina says its new IMF programme will total US$20 billion 27-03-2025 15:00 The economy minister added that funds combined from the IMF, World Bank, Inter-American Development Bank and regional bank CAF would put Argentina’s Central Bank reserves near US$50 billion.
NEW IMF DEAL Caputo says Argentina’s new IMF deal includes US$20 billion 27-03-2025 10:30 Economy Minister Luis Caputo says new IMF programme for Argentina will include US$20 billion in fresh funding. by James Grainger
ANALYSIS How many dollars does Luis Caputo need to reach the midterms? 27-03-2025 00:39 The market is spotlighting fresh funds. The blend could be a bargaining-chip for exchange rate intervention. Central Bank reserves back to levels of late 2023. by Eugenia Muzio
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Traders bet on weaker peso as Milei’s IMF deal looms 26-03-2025 21:39 Investors see Argentina’s peso on the verge of devaluation again, but for Javier Milei, such a step could prove costly – especially ahead of midterm elections in October.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES 'Cepo' in review 22-03-2025 07:53 It might well be argued that the ‘cepo,’ the seemingly endless set of currency and capital controls, has been a bane of Argentina’s existence. by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Autumn is coming for Javier Milei 22-03-2025 07:41 Last week, we discussed how an electoral agreement with the governor of Chaco signalled a possible pattern. This week, Chaco Governor Leandro Zdero received a 120-billion-peso transfer from the federal government. Just don’t tell the IMF. by Marcelo J. García
IMF DEBT TALKS IMF to consider US$20-billion Argentina deal in informal meeting 21-03-2025 15:44 IMF intends to discuss a new loan for Argentina during an informal meeting between its staff and executive board next week in Washington.
IMF DEBT PROGRAMME IMF deal will be agreed by mid-April, says Milei 20-03-2025 18:27 Lower house backs presidential decree authorising new deal with International Monetary Fund.
IMF DEBT PROGRAMME Milei wins lower house approval to agree new IMF loan 19-03-2025 17:52 Milei granted free hand in negotiations with International Monetary Fund over a new programme as lower house backs decree authorising talks.
Congress & Politics Congress upholds Milei’s decree to back new IMF-Argentina deal 19-03-2025 17:44 Lower house lawmakers vote in favour of President Javier Milei’s emergency executive decree backing a new deal with the International Monetary Fund.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS Economy extended expansion as new IMF accord nears 19-03-2025 17:27 Gross domestic product expanded 1.4% in the three months through December, compared with the previous quarter.
POLITICS Unions, movements ready to confront Milei government 19-03-2025 16:23 Brutal police crackdown at pension protest in Buenos Aires has united labour and social organisations, who are increasingly willing to show their discontent with the government.
OPINION & ANALYSIS Is Donald Trump good for Argentina? 15-03-2025 07:40 Trump’s new transactional and short-term economic order overlaps with a new gangster-style and hyper-materialistic political order. by Jorge Fontevecchia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Violence and institutional informality 15-03-2025 07:29 There are serious questions as to what happened on the streets outside Congress, but it clearly helped to distract the attention away from what was going on inside Congress and in the troubled port city of Bahía Blanca. by Agustino Fontevecchia
IMF DEBT PROGRAMME Milei issues decree to take new IMF deal through Congress 11-03-2025 09:55 President issues decree seeking green light from Congress to move forward with rejigged IMF agreement; Repayments would be pushed out over 10 years with a grace period of four and a half years.
IMF DEBT TALKS Milei says IMF deal will wipe out inflation 09-03-2025 09:04 President Javier Milei says new IMF programme is a move to "exterminate inflation" in Argentina.
POLITICAL ANALYSIS Challenging Milei’s ‘iron triangle’ 08-03-2025 06:00 The Donald holds the keys to Milei’s future. by Agustino Fontevecchia
NEW IMF PROGRAMME ‘Devaluation not the solution,’ says Caputo on IMF deal 06-03-2025 22:27 End of April target set; Deal could include US$20 billion in funds, says Wall Street bank.
IMF DEBT TALKS Wall St sees Argentina getting up to US$20 billion in IMF deal 06-03-2025 00:01 Negotiations between Milei’s government and the IMF appear to be nearing the final stages.
IMF DEBT TALKS Adorni says Argentina aiming for new IMF loan deal by end April 05-03-2025 23:43 New deal with IMF "should be completed in the first four months of the year," Presidential Spokesperson Manuel Adorni tells reporters.
POLITICS & ECONOMY President to seek Congress support for IMF deal ‘in coming days’ 03-03-2025 09:03 Milei’s request to Congress is a key step because IMF agreements are required by law to be approved by legislative branch to be enacted.