ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS How Milei raised the bar and paid the price in Buenos Aires Province 13-09-2025 06:54 The market and the political ecosystem, seems to have recalibrated its expectations, putting further financial pressure on the government. by Agustino Fontevecchia
As I see it Milei gets his comeuppance 13-09-2025 06:44 It should have been quite easy for Milei to build a broad enough coalition. But instead of making an effort, egged on by Karina, he decided to go it alone. by James Neilson
ANALYSING ARGENTINA The end of Milei’s single-issue government 13-09-2025 06:30 Until now, the Milei administration has been a single-issue government, working under the notion that a fiscal surplus will fix the country’s entire problems. The public does not seem to be OK with that anymore. by Marcelo J. García
Campaign comments Blast from the past 13-09-2025 06:09 Last Sunday’s election was very much the mayoral tail wagging the dog and here we’re not just talking about Greater Buenos Aires Peronist “barons” – almost the only successes of third parties came thanks to the PRO mayors bucking the Milei alliance, proving mayoral clout beyond the general trend. by Michael Soltys
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Argentina let peso plunge and then stepped in to contain losses 12-09-2025 11:13 Milei administration allowed peso to weaken this week, while simultaneously moving to prevent the rush out of the currency from turning into a stampede.
OPINION & ANALYSIS Ex-Peronist politicians at heart of La Libertad Avanza’s defeat in BA Province 11-09-2025 15:08 Ruling party’s leader in the district, Sebastián Pareja, and Moreno mayoral candidate Ramón Vera are Peronists who made themselves indispensable for the Mileis in the Buenos Aires Province structure. Yet theylost out in an election which the government had presented as a key test of national governance. by Juan Cruz Soqueira
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES PROVINCE Election analysis: Peronism scores wins in districts for first time in 20 years 10-09-2025 13:44 Fuerza Patria finished top in the Second and Fourth Sections of Buenos Aires Province; La Libertad Avanza claimed victory in only two, the Fifth, centred on Mar del Plata, and the Sixth, with Bahía Blanca the main city.
ANALYSIS: SHOCK THERAPY Axel fuels investor fear after Milei’s big loss 10-09-2025 13:14 For investors, the anti-Milei has emerged – and he is worsening market jitters in Argentina.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei’s ‘boss’ becomes liability after brutal loss 09-09-2025 13:44 A humiliating election defeat is forcing President Javier Milei to face up to a series of political miscalculations – chief among them, his reliance on his beloved sister.
ECONOMIC FALL-OUT Morgan Stanley’s flip-flop shows speed of crisis ensnaring Milei 09-09-2025 09:47 It took less than a week to make Morgan Stanley abandon its bullish call on Argentina.
ELECTIONS 2025: ANALYSIS Brow-beaten Milei nears Argentina's 'third year' syndrome 08-09-2025 20:48 Milei is still around 90 days short of the start of his third year, but the defeat in the Buenos Aires Province election means the countdown to the nationwide October 26 midterms is on. by Jorge Fontevecchia
ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS Kicillof cements role, can now eye 2027 presidential run 08-09-2025 01:07 Governor took the risk of pursuing an unprecedented path of autonomy – his decision to decouple the provincial elections leaves him strengthened.
BLOOMBERG - ANALYSIS Milei sticks to plan after landslide defeat in Buenos Aires Province 07-09-2025 23:56 President vows to "accelerate" reforms after a crushing defeat in Buenos Aires Province elections.
ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS Hammer blow for Milei and fears of ‘Black Monday’ panic 07-09-2025 23:36 A resounding defeat for the Milei government that could trouble Argentina’s economy. The ‘black swan’ of Coimagate and how savage infighting took its toll. Will there be Cabinet changes and fall guys? by Franco Lindner
POLITICS & MEDIA Javier Milei and his sister hate journalism 06-09-2025 07:30 President Milei and sister Karina have gone on the offensive against the media and despite some backlash, there doesn’t seem to be any real consequences of getting a controversial judge to pass an unconstitutional ruling. by Agustino Fontevecchia
As I see it Crunch time approaching for Javier Milei 06-09-2025 07:19 Much is made of Milei’s emotional dependence on his sister. She seems to have made him her prisoner. If those who say he cannot sideline her without putting his own mental health in danger are right, Argentina is in deep trouble. by James Neilson
ANALYSING ARGENTINA The endogenous crises of Javier Milei 06-09-2025 07:13 The crises the government is suffering from are endogenous – their origin lies in Milei and his team’s decision to fly solo with their economic and political strategies. by Marcelo J. García
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS A tale of two provinces 06-09-2025 07:07 The population of Buenos Aires Province outnumbers over two-thirds (160) of the world’s 233 countries and territories. by Michael Soltys
ELECTIONS 2025 What’s at stake in Sunday’s election 05-09-2025 10:57 There is a lot riding on the legislative elections in Buenos Aires Province. In addition to being watched by the rest of the country, the results on September 7 will have an impact on the markets and all political actors. by Jorge Fontevecchia
OPINION & ANALYSIS Karina Milei: Argentina’s real president 05-09-2025 09:28 In Argentina, there is a man who exercises absolute power. And there is a woman who controls that man. by Gustavo González
ELECTIONS 2025: BUENOS AIRES PROVINCE Milei targets Peronist heartland in high-stakes vote 05-09-2025 09:11 President Javier Milei is fighting to keep his libertarian revolution alive in the highest-stakes election since he took office.
ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS Argentina’s divided opposition may be Milei’s greatest asset 04-09-2025 07:00 Milei’s greatest advantage is not his economic programme or ideological crusade, but the incoherence of those who oppose him.
Analysing Argentina Forget about October, what matters is the day after 30-08-2025 06:59 After the elections, Milei will not have the benefit of the doubt anymore. Expectations will be higher, just as reality might get tougher. by Marcelo J. García
As I see it Dark clouds line the horizon 30-08-2025 06:52 Millions who voted for Milei less than two years ago may have assumed that he would immediately replace the old political class but, needless to say, that was a pipe dream. by James Neilson
Politics & corruption Milei’s libertarian dream and the risks of Karina’s greed 30-08-2025 06:22 It seems as if the Milei administration has been participating in the “caste-like” behaviour it was mandated by its voters to eradicate. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Swimming against the current 30-08-2025 06:04 The undecided in Corrientes could just top up Juan Pablo Valdés over the 40 percent needed to ensure first-round victory, although the current Zeitgeist of voter apathy would make it likelier for them to sit this one out. by Michael Soltys
EXPLAINER United States targets Venezuela over 'Soles' cartel – but does it exist? 29-08-2025 07:36 While some of US President Donald Trump's right-wing led allies in South America have echoed his designation of the 'Cártel de los Soles' as a terrorist organisation, many have doubts such a group even exists.
CORRUPTION CRISIS Trading in ‘Lule’ Menem to save Karina Milei 28-08-2025 13:48 A risky idea is starting to spread in one government sector. Perhaps the only way to save the supreme sister is to sacrifice Lule. by Javier Calvo
RIGI INVESTMENT INCENTIVE SCHEME One year in, RIGI investor incentive scheme fails to take off 27-08-2025 09:18 One of President Javier Milei’s flagship policies, the RIGI incentive scheme for large investors, is not taking off – one year on from its launch, three projects have imported a mere US$26 million. Seven initiatives have been approved with 11 others pending and a Chinese rejection. by Gonzalo Martínez
BRAZILIAN POLITICS Bolsonaro’s family dynasty creaks under pressure of Brazil coup trial 25-08-2025 13:55 The once-united Bolsonaro clan is creaking under the pressure, leaving the coalition of centre-right parties in their orbit in disarray.
As I see it All good things come to an end 23-08-2025 07:48 Western politicians and those who feed them ideas are ill-equipped to deal with the many challenges they face. by James Neilson
Analysing Argentina How can the new centrists kill polarisation? 23-08-2025 07:01 The centre might be the only viable solution for a country like Argentina, but who would vote for a dull, rationality-driven politician when you have the angry mob? by Marcelo J. García
ELECTIONS 2025: ANALYSIS Analysts give take on electoral slates for October election 23-08-2025 06:46 La Libertad Avanza’s hegemonic project, a Peronist survival bid and an accepted secondary role for PRO. Milei versus Kirchnerism polarisation promises to be the dominant theme of the campaign heading into October. by Giselle Leclercq
Campaign comments Ins and outs of Congress 23-08-2025 06:42 Almost all those deputies taking their leave would doubtless be rubbished by President Milei as “caste” but most carry a political weight far from evident in their prospective replacements. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS & CORRUPTION Greedy and corrupt libertarians? 23-08-2025 06:15 Smear campaign tactics are a defining characteristic of the Argentine political ecosystem during the electoral season. Corruption has risen as a preoccupation for everyday citizens, but it is still the economy that will determine whether or not Milei is successful. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICS Milei adds a corruption scandal to his mounting list of woes 22-08-2025 22:59 Reeling from a week of political, economic and financial setbacks, President Javier Milei now faces a fresh corruption scandal reportedly linked to his sister.
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei comes out swinging as setbacks pile up before key vote 21-08-2025 18:09 President Javier Milei suffers rapid-fire political, economic and financial setbacks as his most daunting electoral test yet draws near.
ESPIONAGE & INTELLIGENCE Sergio Neiffert: Secrets and business dealings of Milei's spy chief 20-08-2025 09:28 The house of spies has a leak – and it's not the first time. A look at the tenure of spy chief Sergio Neiffert and his business dealings as questions are asked about the activities of Argentina's intelligence services. by Rodis Recalt
BOLIVIAN ELECTION 2025 From TikTok to frontrunner: Rodrigo Paz's presidential campaign in Bolivia 20-08-2025 09:15 Rodrigo Paz is hardly an outsider. His experience in politics runs two decades deep, having served as mayor, councillor, deputy and senator. His popularity has only grown since adding Edman Lara – nicknamed "Captain Lara" – to the ticket as vice-president.
FREEDOM OF SPEECH Moche, Milei and the scales of Justice 19-08-2025 19:17 A federal judge has determined that President Javier Milei’s posts on social media are not official acts of communication. ?Trump’s precedent in the United States and the impact on the '$LIBRA' cryptocurrency case. by Walter Curia
INTELLIGENCE SERVICES Ex-spy Stiuso retains influence at SIDE intelligence services 19-08-2025 15:41 Antonio ‘Jaime’ Stiuso, former director-general of operations at Argentina’s intelligence service, has well-oiled contacts with the libertarians leading SIDE. by Rodis Recalt
ELECTIONS 2025 October legislative race takes shape, polarised contest looms 18-08-2025 12:21 La Libertad Avanza, Peronism, centre-ground Provincias Unidas and left-wing fronts close candidate lists ahead of a pivotal vote for Javier Milei’s government.
GUEST COLUMN Argentina: A country that I call home 16-08-2025 07:05 "Argentina is a land of breath-taking diversity, geographically, culturally and gastronomically. As I bid farewell, I leave with immense gratitude," writes Nur Azman Rahim, Malaysia’s outgoing ambassador to Argentina, Paraguay & Uruguay.
Campaign comments Jousting in the lists 16-08-2025 06:30 In broad terms, President Javier Milei’s La Libertad Avanza will be flying solo in half the country whereas Peronism is presenting a united front in three-quarters of the districts, including all the most important except Córdoba. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Between heaven and hell 16-08-2025 06:22 As Milei and his economic team struggle to contain financial stress, his popularity and therefore expected electoral victory is under threat. by Agustino Fontevecchia
As I see it Why Milei refuses to budge an inch 16-08-2025 06:11 Like “the Iron Lady,” late British prime minister Margaret Thatcher, whom he admires, Milei lets it be known that he is not for turning. by James Neilson
FRIENDSHIP, BUSINESS & POLITICS Donation to Milei's party triggers scrutiny of Santiago Caputo’s employer 15-08-2025 13:20 Lucas Costa is one of the partners at Zefico SA, the company where top presidential adviser Santiago Caputo is the sole employee. The firm was reported to the Unidad de Información Financiera (UIF) two weeks, after the businessman transferred some three million pesos to La Libertad Avanza’s campaign in Formosa. by Giselle Leclercq
BUSINESS & POLITICS UIF watchdog lodges complaint over leak about firm employing Santiago Caputo 14-08-2025 18:03 Paul Starc, head of UIF money-laundering watchdog, lodges criminal complaint over leak of information involving flagged transactions at the company Zefico SA, the employer of top presidential advisor Santiago Caputo.
POLITICS & RELIGION Milei finds heavenly ally in evangelism 12-08-2025 17:48 Politics, religion and business. A decree issued by President Javier Milei recognises evangelical churches as legal entities – a key change its leaders have been seeking for three decades. by Juan Luis González
GUEST COLUMN Loneliness and isolation: the hidden threat to global health 11-08-2025 14:49 Humans are hardwired for connection. Disconnection, whether through loneliness, or social isolation, can have devastating impacts.
Campaign comments Deadlines or lifelines? 09-08-2025 06:52 We have confirmation of one important definition – the La Libertad Avanza far right and the PRO centre-right extending their Buenos Aires Province alliance to this city. by Michael Soltys
Analysing Argentina The (wrong?) assumption that energy and mining will save Argentina 09-08-2025 06:35 President Javier Milei’s economic programme relies heavily on the prospects of Argentina massively increasing its exports in the coming years. But projections work better on paper than in reality. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Civil war in the ‘iron triangle’ and the Scatturice ordeal 09-08-2025 06:34 A little less than three months out from the election, it is getting tense for the Milei administration and the country in general. The President is placing his political project on the line, knowing that he needs to deliver electorally if he wants to keep his re-election dreams alive. by Agustino Fontevecchia
As I see it Fearful Westerners turn their backs on Israel 09-08-2025 05:29 Could what is happening in the Middle East be just a prelude to a similar drama in Europe and other parts of the West? by James Neilson
FEATURE Los Menem SA: How ex-president’s clan invoices the state 08-08-2025 13:54 Business dealings with the state are part of the family’s income, with the Menem clan remaining close to power. A look at controversial contracts and the "series effect." by Rodis Recalt
Analysis Milei blames banks and establishment for new run on currency 07-08-2025 17:58 Argentina's government attributes the third currency run of its administration to a supposed speculative manoeuvre by local banks, big business and the establishment. For Milei, it’s a political onslaught against his economic plan. by Carlos Burgueño
POLITICS & GOVERNMENT Cabinet wealth rankings: Werthein, Cúneo Libarona, Caputo on podium 07-08-2025 14:23 Government ministers Gerardo Werthein, Mariano Cúneo Libarona and Luis Caputo head the wealth and asset rankings of President Javier Milei’s Cabinet. by Giselle Leclercq
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Cúneo Libarona, Tim Ballard and the freak show 04-08-2025 18:54 One of the connective threads behind the multiple scandals faced by Milei and his top officials is CPAC, the conservative think tank that counts with the Argentine President and Donald Trump as some of its highest- profile members. by Agustino Fontevecchia
AS I SEE IT Elites under pressure in a changing world 04-08-2025 18:26 In North America and much of Europe, governments have long come under fire because an increasing number of people feel they are falling behind and it seems more than probable that many more will do so in the next few years. by James Neilson
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS The future Senate – Victoria’s secret? 04-08-2025 18:15 In more than one province there is potential for polarisation and the traditional two-party system to be replaced by two competitive non-Peronist options leaving Kirchnerism out in the cold along the lines of the 2013 City race. by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Milei at a crossroads: between isolation and the art of the deal 04-08-2025 17:59 The first decision is whether to seek alliances with provincial governors, who in broad terms agree with his economic programme, or fly solo. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS Secrets of Leonardo Scatturice, Milei’s lobbyist in Washington 29-07-2025 07:20 The murky past of the millionaire former spy behind the unchecked luggage flight. A key link between Javier Milei and Donald Trump, with ties to airline Flybondi and top presidential advisor Santiago Caputo. by Rodis Recalt
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Darkness at midnight 28-07-2025 15:46 If inner strife tore the centre-right apart in 2023 while eroding the rusty Kirchnerite machine now, is infighting infecting today’s invincibles? by Michael Soltys
OPINION & ANALYSIS Santiago Caputo dies hard 28-07-2025 15:40 The closure of the national government’s Buenos Aires Province lists probably weighed in the vindictive mood of the star spin doctor whose minions were wallflowers when it came time for Karina’s provincial delegate Sebastián Pareja to define the candidates. by Javier Calvo
AS I SEE IT Weirdoes do battle for the world 28-07-2025 15:33 Few imagined that the old order would soon fall apart and that through the cracks would emerge political leaders determined to bring about drastic changes in the societies they lived in. by James Neilson
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Milei, Lamelas and the politics of evil 28-07-2025 15:24 Governors who used to oversee economic no-go areas, whose only hope used to be getting assistance or even charity, are now empowered by growing national and international business interest in their regions. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS - ANALYSIS Dirty politics in Buenos Aires Province and the risk of violence 28-07-2025 15:12 Libertarian coalition sparked the implosion and successive fragmentation of Argentina’s dysfunctional political system. by Agustino Fontevecchia
FEATURE Challenging overfishing: The craft fishers of Peninsula Valdés 26-07-2025 06:02 At Península Valdés in Argentina’s south, a group of artisanal fishers practise a daily craft which runs counter to the voracity of extractive industry. From a fishing province, they are rescuing a trade requiring patience and risk in a protected area many today view as under threat. A look at it’s like to work in a North Patagonian gulf, in crystal-clear waters, where whales follow motorboats as dogs run after the wheels of a lorry.
As I see it Politics becomes a strictly personal matter 21-07-2025 05:49 Once upon a time, politicians were expected to stand for rather more than their own egos, but in most parts of the world, the more successful political parties now tend to be one-man bands. by James Neilson
FEATURE Trial in absentia – the hope of justice for AMIA bombing 20-07-2025 19:18 The case of the Jewish community centre would be the first application of this kind of trial in Argentina. How this tool against impunity works, its authors, international precedents and other possible cases, such as the crimes of the military dictatorship, to which it could be applied. by Sabrina Chemen